|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
|
|
Million Kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
112.4 |
260.7 |
345.8 |
428.7 |
518.3 |
619.3 |
732.1 |
851.6 |
976.3 |
1102.5 |
1228.5 |
1351.7 |
1470.7 |
1583.2 |
1692.5 |
1794.0 |
1887.6 |
1973.4 |
2051.7 |
2122.2 |
2183.5 |
2239.3 |
2287.1 |
2327.6 |
2360.9 |
2387.5 |
2409.6 |
2428.0 |
2442.2 |
2452.0 |
2460.1 |
2463.0 |
2463.2 |
2465.0 |
2465.2 |
2467.2 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
1160.7 |
1176.5 |
1195.1 |
1214.1 |
1233.3 |
1252.7 |
1272.5 |
1292.5 |
1313.0 |
1333.8 |
1355.0 |
1376.4 |
1398.2 |
1420.3 |
1442.8 |
1465.5 |
1488.6 |
1512.0 |
1535.8 |
1559.9 |
1584.2 |
1608.6 |
1633.6 |
1658.8 |
1684.3 |
1710.1 |
1736.2 |
1762.6 |
1789.2 |
1816.4 |
1843.8 |
1871.6 |
1899.8 |
1928.4 |
1957.2 |
1986.5 |
Investment |
fI |
122.7 |
234.8 |
178.5 |
120.8 |
104.1 |
103.5 |
108.0 |
117.3 |
132.3 |
146.8 |
160.9 |
175.6 |
189.3 |
198.9 |
214.6 |
223.4 |
225.4 |
225.3 |
226.9 |
221.1 |
215.8 |
204.8 |
191.1 |
174.3 |
156.1 |
138.8 |
119.3 |
107.9 |
95.1 |
74.8 |
56.0 |
32.8 |
15.4 |
6.7 |
-5.6 |
-11.3 |
Export |
fE |
-85.2 |
-201.1 |
-339.5 |
-495.5 |
-669.6 |
-857.2 |
-1054.9 |
-1259.4 |
-1469.2 |
-1680.4 |
-1891.7 |
-2100.8 |
-2306.5 |
-2507.1 |
-2701.4 |
-2889.1 |
-3068.8 |
-3239.0 |
-3400.2 |
-3551.7 |
-3693.9 |
-3825.1 |
-3946.7 |
-4058.2 |
-4159.3 |
-4250.0 |
-4331.2 |
-4404.1 |
-4469.1 |
-4526.2 |
-4575.3 |
-4617.2 |
-4653.8 |
-4685.6 |
-4712.7 |
-4737.1 |
Import |
fM |
227.6 |
306.5 |
259.2 |
214.0 |
188.8 |
170.8 |
154.6 |
138.9 |
123.6 |
106.4 |
87.5 |
66.7 |
44.4 |
18.4 |
-5.2 |
-31.8 |
-62.0 |
-93.0 |
-123.1 |
-155.4 |
-187.1 |
-219.1 |
-251.5 |
-284.3 |
-315.5 |
-344.5 |
-372.5 |
-396.0 |
-417.7 |
-441.3 |
-460.6 |
-480.2 |
-497.3 |
-507.8 |
-518.3 |
-523.7 |
GDP |
fY |
1120.6 |
1204.5 |
1168.7 |
1109.8 |
1060.4 |
1017.0 |
978.2 |
943.3 |
913.6 |
885.5 |
858.7 |
833.6 |
808.5 |
782.0 |
762.2 |
737.5 |
710.3 |
683.7 |
659.5 |
632.5 |
605.8 |
579.2 |
552.2 |
525.8 |
499.7 |
476.1 |
454.6 |
441.1 |
428.5 |
414.3 |
403.4 |
391.3 |
384.9 |
386.9 |
389.0 |
397.0 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
2.590 |
2.680 |
2.625 |
2.491 |
2.327 |
2.150 |
1.968 |
1.788 |
1.615 |
1.446 |
1.285 |
1.132 |
0.987 |
0.845 |
0.717 |
0.594 |
0.475 |
0.364 |
0.261 |
0.164 |
0.075 |
-0.008 |
-0.084 |
-0.153 |
-0.213 |
-0.266 |
-0.311 |
-0.345 |
-0.371 |
-0.393 |
-0.408 |
-0.419 |
-0.423 |
-0.418 |
-0.409 |
-0.392 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-1.546 |
-1.491 |
-1.453 |
-1.376 |
-1.284 |
-1.185 |
-1.084 |
-0.985 |
-0.889 |
-0.795 |
-0.706 |
-0.622 |
-0.541 |
-0.463 |
-0.392 |
-0.324 |
-0.259 |
-0.197 |
-0.141 |
-0.087 |
-0.038 |
0.008 |
0.050 |
0.088 |
0.121 |
0.150 |
0.175 |
0.193 |
0.207 |
0.219 |
0.227 |
0.233 |
0.235 |
0.232 |
0.226 |
0.217 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.023 |
-0.019 |
-0.020 |
-0.026 |
-0.032 |
-0.038 |
-0.043 |
-0.048 |
-0.053 |
-0.058 |
-0.063 |
-0.067 |
-0.071 |
-0.076 |
-0.080 |
-0.084 |
-0.088 |
-0.093 |
-0.097 |
-0.101 |
-0.105 |
-0.110 |
-0.114 |
-0.118 |
-0.123 |
-0.127 |
-0.131 |
-0.135 |
-0.138 |
-0.142 |
-0.146 |
-0.149 |
-0.153 |
-0.156 |
-0.159 |
-0.162 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.008 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
0.003 |
0.006 |
0.008 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
0.008 |
0.006 |
0.004 |
0.002 |
0.000 |
-0.001 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.007 |
-0.008 |
-0.009 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.015 |
-0.023 |
-0.023 |
-0.023 |
-0.026 |
-0.030 |
-0.034 |
-0.040 |
-0.046 |
-0.052 |
-0.058 |
-0.065 |
-0.071 |
-0.077 |
-0.083 |
-0.089 |
-0.095 |
-0.101 |
-0.106 |
-0.111 |
-0.116 |
-0.120 |
-0.124 |
-0.128 |
-0.132 |
-0.135 |
-0.139 |
-0.142 |
-0.145 |
-0.148 |
-0.151 |
-0.153 |
-0.156 |
-0.158 |
-0.160 |
-0.163 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.074 |
-0.120 |
-0.158 |
-0.192 |
-0.227 |
-0.264 |
-0.303 |
-0.344 |
-0.389 |
-0.437 |
-0.488 |
-0.543 |
-0.601 |
-0.663 |
-0.728 |
-0.796 |
-0.866 |
-0.939 |
-1.014 |
-1.091 |
-1.170 |
-1.251 |
-1.332 |
-1.415 |
-1.499 |
-1.583 |
-1.668 |
-1.753 |
-1.838 |
-1.924 |
-2.009 |
-2.095 |
-2.179 |
-2.264 |
-2.348 |
-2.432 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.010 |
-0.003 |
0.008 |
0.026 |
0.050 |
0.079 |
0.113 |
0.151 |
0.194 |
0.241 |
0.291 |
0.345 |
0.402 |
0.461 |
0.523 |
0.588 |
0.654 |
0.724 |
0.795 |
0.868 |
0.943 |
1.020 |
1.098 |
1.178 |
1.259 |
1.342 |
1.426 |
1.510 |
1.595 |
1.681 |
1.767 |
1.853 |
1.940 |
2.026 |
2.113 |
2.199 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.052 |
-0.049 |
-0.041 |
-0.031 |
-0.023 |
-0.015 |
-0.007 |
0.001 |
0.008 |
0.016 |
0.023 |
0.031 |
0.038 |
0.045 |
0.052 |
0.058 |
0.065 |
0.071 |
0.077 |
0.082 |
0.087 |
0.092 |
0.096 |
0.099 |
0.102 |
0.105 |
0.107 |
0.108 |
0.109 |
0.110 |
0.110 |
0.110 |
0.110 |
0.109 |
0.108 |
0.106 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.038 |
0.040 |
0.044 |
0.047 |
0.048 |
0.049 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.047 |
0.047 |
0.046 |
0.045 |
0.045 |
0.044 |
0.044 |
0.043 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
0.041 |
0.040 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.039 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.036 |
User cost |
uim |
0.012 |
0.028 |
0.043 |
0.057 |
0.071 |
0.085 |
0.097 |
0.109 |
0.120 |
0.130 |
0.139 |
0.148 |
0.155 |
0.162 |
0.168 |
0.173 |
0.177 |
0.181 |
0.184 |
0.186 |
0.188 |
0.189 |
0.190 |
0.190 |
0.189 |
0.188 |
0.187 |
0.185 |
0.184 |
0.182 |
0.179 |
0.177 |
0.175 |
0.172 |
0.170 |
0.168 |
Wage |
lna |
0.026 |
0.076 |
0.123 |
0.168 |
0.211 |
0.250 |
0.287 |
0.321 |
0.352 |
0.380 |
0.405 |
0.427 |
0.447 |
0.464 |
0.479 |
0.491 |
0.502 |
0.510 |
0.517 |
0.521 |
0.524 |
0.526 |
0.525 |
0.524 |
0.521 |
0.518 |
0.513 |
0.508 |
0.502 |
0.496 |
0.489 |
0.482 |
0.475 |
0.468 |
0.461 |
0.454 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.013 |
0.029 |
0.046 |
0.063 |
0.080 |
0.096 |
0.113 |
0.128 |
0.143 |
0.157 |
0.171 |
0.183 |
0.195 |
0.206 |
0.215 |
0.224 |
0.232 |
0.239 |
0.245 |
0.250 |
0.255 |
0.258 |
0.261 |
0.263 |
0.264 |
0.265 |
0.265 |
0.264 |
0.263 |
0.262 |
0.260 |
0.258 |
0.255 |
0.253 |
0.250 |
0.247 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.010 |
0.021 |
0.032 |
0.043 |
0.054 |
0.064 |
0.073 |
0.082 |
0.091 |
0.099 |
0.106 |
0.112 |
0.118 |
0.123 |
0.127 |
0.131 |
0.134 |
0.137 |
0.139 |
0.141 |
0.142 |
0.143 |
0.143 |
0.143 |
0.143 |
0.142 |
0.141 |
0.140 |
0.139 |
0.137 |
0.135 |
0.134 |
0.132 |
0.130 |
0.128 |
0.126 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.016 |
-0.007 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
0.002 |
0.005 |
0.008 |
0.012 |
0.016 |
0.020 |
0.023 |
0.027 |
0.030 |
0.033 |
0.035 |
0.038 |
0.039 |
0.041 |
0.042 |
0.043 |
0.044 |
0.045 |
0.045 |
0.045 |
0.045 |
0.045 |
0.044 |
0.044 |
0.043 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
Wage ratio |
byw |
0.024 |
0.037 |
0.049 |
0.059 |
0.068 |
0.074 |
0.080 |
0.084 |
0.087 |
0.090 |
0.092 |
0.093 |
0.094 |
0.094 |
0.094 |
0.094 |
0.093 |
0.092 |
0.090 |
0.089 |
0.087 |
0.085 |
0.083 |
0.081 |
0.079 |
0.076 |
0.074 |
0.072 |
0.070 |
0.068 |
0.066 |
0.064 |
0.062 |
0.060 |
0.059 |
0.058 |
|
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