|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
|
|
Million 2005-kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1201.7 |
759.8 |
544.1 |
361.4 |
231.5 |
137.4 |
68.1 |
15.1 |
-26.4 |
-58.8 |
-84.5 |
-104.4 |
-120.5 |
-132.8 |
-140.8 |
-147.4 |
-152.2 |
-154.3 |
-154.3 |
-153.7 |
-152.3 |
-149.6 |
-143.9 |
-140.5 |
-134.5 |
-129.3 |
-123.1 |
-115.6 |
-108.1 |
-102.1 |
-94.9 |
-87.5 |
-80.0 |
-73.6 |
-65.8 |
-59.5 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-51.0 |
-42.1 |
-30.7 |
-21.0 |
-13.4 |
-7.1 |
-2.4 |
1.4 |
4.1 |
6.5 |
7.9 |
9.1 |
9.8 |
10.1 |
10.2 |
10.1 |
9.6 |
9.2 |
8.6 |
7.7 |
7.1 |
6.6 |
5.9 |
5.3 |
4.8 |
4.2 |
3.8 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
Investment |
fI |
328.0 |
350.0 |
99.6 |
59.7 |
36.9 |
15.7 |
-12.2 |
-33.0 |
-51.0 |
-63.1 |
-73.1 |
-80.1 |
-81.6 |
-79.2 |
-74.4 |
-71.0 |
-66.1 |
-53.3 |
-50.3 |
-45.9 |
-38.7 |
-31.1 |
-26.5 |
-19.1 |
-11.5 |
-7.6 |
-6.4 |
0.0 |
2.4 |
0.7 |
7.9 |
2.7 |
7.3 |
5.8 |
11.6 |
8.1 |
Export |
fE |
-48.9 |
-56.7 |
-75.1 |
-98.1 |
-123.0 |
-146.0 |
-164.6 |
-178.1 |
-185.4 |
-186.3 |
-181.1 |
-170.3 |
-154.6 |
-135.4 |
-113.5 |
-89.2 |
-63.1 |
-37.0 |
-11.1 |
13.5 |
37.1 |
58.9 |
78.1 |
95.1 |
109.6 |
121.5 |
130.8 |
137.3 |
140.9 |
142.5 |
141.8 |
138.5 |
133.5 |
127.8 |
120.6 |
112.9 |
Import |
fM |
639.8 |
423.8 |
155.0 |
71.2 |
17.6 |
-23.6 |
-58.7 |
-84.5 |
-104.6 |
-118.6 |
-127.8 |
-133.6 |
-135.1 |
-132.4 |
-126.5 |
-120.4 |
-111.6 |
-100.3 |
-90.5 |
-81.4 |
-70.0 |
-58.6 |
-48.9 |
-39.4 |
-28.3 |
-21.3 |
-15.5 |
-7.9 |
-2.5 |
-0.6 |
5.4 |
5.5 |
8.9 |
9.5 |
12.6 |
11.0 |
GDP |
fY |
800.3 |
585.8 |
376.5 |
227.8 |
115.5 |
28.4 |
-44.4 |
-99.3 |
-141.1 |
-168.8 |
-187.6 |
-196.4 |
-196.3 |
-190.0 |
-177.9 |
-163.6 |
-147.5 |
-123.9 |
-106.1 |
-87.4 |
-68.0 |
-48.4 |
-30.0 |
-13.1 |
2.8 |
15.9 |
25.8 |
37.8 |
45.5 |
49.3 |
56.0 |
54.8 |
58.3 |
57.0 |
60.3 |
57.3 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
0.746 |
0.775 |
0.604 |
0.408 |
0.219 |
0.051 |
-0.091 |
-0.204 |
-0.289 |
-0.347 |
-0.383 |
-0.398 |
-0.396 |
-0.378 |
-0.349 |
-0.314 |
-0.276 |
-0.230 |
-0.189 |
-0.147 |
-0.106 |
-0.067 |
-0.033 |
0.000 |
0.029 |
0.052 |
0.071 |
0.086 |
0.097 |
0.103 |
0.109 |
0.107 |
0.107 |
0.102 |
0.100 |
0.091 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-0.554 |
-0.531 |
-0.400 |
-0.265 |
-0.136 |
-0.024 |
0.072 |
0.146 |
0.202 |
0.241 |
0.263 |
0.271 |
0.269 |
0.256 |
0.236 |
0.211 |
0.185 |
0.154 |
0.125 |
0.097 |
0.069 |
0.043 |
0.020 |
-0.002 |
-0.022 |
-0.037 |
-0.049 |
-0.060 |
-0.067 |
-0.071 |
-0.075 |
-0.073 |
-0.073 |
-0.069 |
-0.067 |
-0.062 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.037 |
0.034 |
0.027 |
0.019 |
0.012 |
0.006 |
0.001 |
-0.004 |
-0.007 |
-0.009 |
-0.011 |
-0.012 |
-0.012 |
-0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.011 |
-0.010 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.080 |
-0.064 |
-0.041 |
-0.028 |
-0.019 |
-0.011 |
-0.005 |
0.000 |
0.004 |
0.007 |
0.008 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
0.008 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.006 |
0.005 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.043 |
-0.030 |
-0.014 |
-0.010 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.037 |
-0.070 |
-0.082 |
-0.088 |
-0.091 |
-0.093 |
-0.093 |
-0.092 |
-0.091 |
-0.090 |
-0.089 |
-0.087 |
-0.086 |
-0.084 |
-0.082 |
-0.081 |
-0.079 |
-0.077 |
-0.076 |
-0.074 |
-0.072 |
-0.069 |
-0.067 |
-0.065 |
-0.063 |
-0.060 |
-0.058 |
-0.055 |
-0.053 |
-0.051 |
-0.048 |
-0.046 |
-0.044 |
-0.042 |
-0.040 |
-0.038 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.053 |
-0.079 |
-0.098 |
-0.110 |
-0.116 |
-0.116 |
-0.111 |
-0.103 |
-0.093 |
-0.080 |
-0.067 |
-0.053 |
-0.039 |
-0.026 |
-0.014 |
-0.003 |
0.007 |
0.015 |
0.022 |
0.028 |
0.033 |
0.037 |
0.039 |
0.041 |
0.041 |
0.041 |
0.041 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.037 |
0.035 |
0.034 |
0.032 |
0.030 |
0.028 |
0.026 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.038 |
-0.022 |
-0.006 |
0.004 |
0.011 |
0.016 |
0.020 |
0.022 |
0.023 |
0.023 |
0.022 |
0.020 |
0.018 |
0.015 |
0.013 |
0.010 |
0.008 |
0.005 |
0.003 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.017 |
-0.006 |
0.001 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
User cost |
uim |
0.003 |
0.006 |
0.009 |
0.012 |
0.014 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.010 |
0.008 |
0.006 |
0.004 |
0.002 |
0.000 |
-0.001 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
Wage |
lna |
0.006 |
0.019 |
0.030 |
0.038 |
0.043 |
0.045 |
0.045 |
0.042 |
0.038 |
0.033 |
0.028 |
0.021 |
0.015 |
0.009 |
0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.007 |
-0.011 |
-0.015 |
-0.017 |
-0.019 |
-0.021 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.019 |
-0.018 |
-0.016 |
-0.015 |
-0.013 |
-0.011 |
-0.010 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.002 |
0.005 |
0.010 |
0.014 |
0.017 |
0.019 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.016 |
0.014 |
0.011 |
0.009 |
0.006 |
0.004 |
0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.003 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.008 |
-0.009 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.000 |
0.003 |
0.006 |
0.009 |
0.011 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
0.009 |
0.007 |
0.005 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
0.000 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.090 |
0.063 |
0.049 |
0.034 |
0.022 |
0.013 |
0.007 |
0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.004 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
Wage ratio |
byw |
-0.010 |
0.003 |
0.011 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
0.008 |
0.006 |
0.004 |
0.002 |
0.000 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|