|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
|
|
Million 2005-kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-1371.9 |
7539.8 |
14185.7 |
18092.2 |
20830.9 |
22762.8 |
24110.4 |
25018.5 |
25595.7 |
25929.1 |
26080.4 |
26099.8 |
26020.8 |
25868.7 |
25662.8 |
25414.1 |
25130.9 |
24820.1 |
24486.6 |
24134.7 |
23764.8 |
23377.6 |
22980.8 |
22573.9 |
22162.9 |
21752.0 |
21346.0 |
20948.9 |
20568.8 |
20203.0 |
19861.0 |
19542.9 |
19256.0 |
19001.3 |
18783.5 |
18602.3 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
56.3 |
-317.1 |
-689.4 |
-941.3 |
-1110.9 |
-1217.4 |
-1273.4 |
-1288.3 |
-1270.6 |
-1227.9 |
-1166.5 |
-1092.5 |
-1010.0 |
-923.3 |
-835.2 |
-748.3 |
-664.0 |
-583.8 |
-508.6 |
-439.0 |
-375.2 |
-317.2 |
-264.8 |
-218.0 |
-176.3 |
-139.4 |
-106.8 |
-78.4 |
-53.8 |
-32.4 |
-14.1 |
1.8 |
15.1 |
26.6 |
36.3 |
44.6 |
Investment |
fI |
4458.3 |
11945.4 |
13765.5 |
14895.6 |
15982.8 |
16829.1 |
17282.9 |
17405.5 |
17253.9 |
16904.3 |
16404.2 |
15811.0 |
15163.2 |
14501.8 |
13849.4 |
13224.9 |
12645.7 |
12125.2 |
11662.4 |
11267.6 |
10938.5 |
10668.8 |
10461.2 |
10313.3 |
10214.1 |
10157.3 |
10145.5 |
10168.9 |
10228.4 |
10313.4 |
10422.9 |
10549.6 |
10699.9 |
10860.4 |
11037.7 |
11218.1 |
Export |
fE |
2003.7 |
3136.1 |
4367.5 |
5200.7 |
5697.2 |
5751.3 |
5389.9 |
4631.6 |
3531.1 |
2149.3 |
556.3 |
-1178.7 |
-2988.9 |
-4813.7 |
-6598.0 |
-8295.7 |
-9868.0 |
-11287.3 |
-12530.5 |
-13584.9 |
-14442.3 |
-15101.8 |
-15567.9 |
-15848.4 |
-15955.1 |
-15902.6 |
-15707.1 |
-15385.8 |
-14957.0 |
-14439.6 |
-13852.4 |
-13212.8 |
-12536.9 |
-11840.6 |
-11139.1 |
-10445.0 |
Import |
fM |
2614.5 |
10269.6 |
13194.9 |
14455.8 |
15476.4 |
16147.0 |
16433.1 |
16394.8 |
16099.9 |
15612.1 |
14976.3 |
14242.6 |
13445.8 |
12617.3 |
11785.7 |
10968.1 |
10185.1 |
9447.8 |
8765.3 |
8147.4 |
7596.9 |
7112.4 |
6700.4 |
6358.9 |
6085.9 |
5874.3 |
5728.3 |
5638.5 |
5607.5 |
5623.6 |
5687.8 |
5787.1 |
5926.6 |
6095.0 |
6291.4 |
6507.9 |
GDP |
fY |
2421.9 |
11824.5 |
17978.0 |
22102.0 |
25064.4 |
27006.3 |
28041.4 |
28318.6 |
27976.0 |
27159.3 |
25988.5 |
24578.0 |
23021.4 |
21403.6 |
19786.8 |
18222.6 |
16751.3 |
15405.8 |
14201.3 |
13154.3 |
12267.5 |
11538.5 |
10966.5 |
10544.3 |
10258.5 |
10100.9 |
10059.5 |
10122.3 |
10278.8 |
10509.8 |
10805.5 |
11154.8 |
11551.5 |
11979.8 |
12437.0 |
12905.8 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
1.077 |
10.622 |
19.368 |
26.347 |
31.455 |
34.676 |
36.117 |
35.999 |
34.593 |
32.186 |
29.049 |
25.432 |
21.549 |
17.585 |
13.688 |
9.967 |
6.509 |
3.377 |
0.602 |
-1.793 |
-3.807 |
-5.452 |
-6.741 |
-7.701 |
-8.362 |
-8.756 |
-8.913 |
-8.869 |
-8.652 |
-8.297 |
-7.830 |
-7.283 |
-6.673 |
-6.027 |
-5.359 |
-4.692 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-0.800 |
-7.825 |
-13.701 |
-18.274 |
-21.576 |
-23.608 |
-24.457 |
-24.282 |
-23.267 |
-21.602 |
-19.462 |
-17.013 |
-14.393 |
-11.725 |
-9.103 |
-6.602 |
-4.279 |
-2.177 |
-0.315 |
1.289 |
2.635 |
3.732 |
4.588 |
5.221 |
5.653 |
5.905 |
5.998 |
5.955 |
5.795 |
5.543 |
5.218 |
4.839 |
4.419 |
3.976 |
3.519 |
3.064 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.357 |
-0.168 |
0.249 |
0.554 |
0.777 |
0.923 |
1.002 |
1.022 |
0.995 |
0.932 |
0.841 |
0.734 |
0.616 |
0.493 |
0.371 |
0.252 |
0.141 |
0.038 |
-0.055 |
-0.138 |
-0.211 |
-0.274 |
-0.328 |
-0.373 |
-0.410 |
-0.439 |
-0.462 |
-0.479 |
-0.491 |
-0.499 |
-0.504 |
-0.505 |
-0.505 |
-0.502 |
-0.498 |
-0.494 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.151 |
-0.253 |
-0.851 |
-1.227 |
-1.493 |
-1.664 |
-1.750 |
-1.771 |
-1.741 |
-1.676 |
-1.588 |
-1.487 |
-1.379 |
-1.271 |
-1.167 |
-1.070 |
-0.981 |
-0.901 |
-0.831 |
-0.771 |
-0.719 |
-0.674 |
-0.637 |
-0.607 |
-0.582 |
-0.561 |
-0.545 |
-0.533 |
-0.524 |
-0.516 |
-0.511 |
-0.507 |
-0.505 |
-0.504 |
-0.504 |
-0.504 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.206 |
-0.422 |
-0.602 |
-0.673 |
-0.716 |
-0.740 |
-0.748 |
-0.748 |
-0.746 |
-0.744 |
-0.746 |
-0.753 |
-0.763 |
-0.778 |
-0.797 |
-0.818 |
-0.840 |
-0.863 |
-0.886 |
-0.909 |
-0.930 |
-0.948 |
-0.965 |
-0.980 |
-0.991 |
-1.001 |
-1.008 |
-1.012 |
-1.015 |
-1.016 |
-1.015 |
-1.013 |
-1.010 |
-1.006 |
-1.002 |
-0.997 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.183 |
-0.602 |
-1.185 |
-1.797 |
-2.415 |
-3.028 |
-3.625 |
-4.202 |
-4.758 |
-5.294 |
-5.816 |
-6.328 |
-6.835 |
-7.342 |
-7.852 |
-8.369 |
-8.894 |
-9.426 |
-9.966 |
-10.513 |
-11.063 |
-11.616 |
-12.168 |
-12.717 |
-13.262 |
-13.797 |
-14.323 |
-14.837 |
-15.336 |
-15.821 |
-16.291 |
-16.743 |
-17.177 |
-17.593 |
-17.993 |
-18.374 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.282 |
0.331 |
0.044 |
-0.508 |
-1.251 |
-2.105 |
-3.000 |
-3.879 |
-4.698 |
-5.424 |
-6.035 |
-6.521 |
-6.877 |
-7.102 |
-7.204 |
-7.190 |
-7.071 |
-6.859 |
-6.566 |
-6.205 |
-5.789 |
-5.327 |
-4.831 |
-4.309 |
-3.772 |
-3.226 |
-2.678 |
-2.134 |
-1.598 |
-1.074 |
-0.565 |
-0.074 |
0.399 |
0.851 |
1.282 |
1.693 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.133 |
-0.505 |
-0.667 |
-0.685 |
-0.609 |
-0.458 |
-0.250 |
-0.003 |
0.268 |
0.550 |
0.831 |
1.102 |
1.358 |
1.594 |
1.806 |
1.993 |
2.155 |
2.292 |
2.404 |
2.494 |
2.562 |
2.612 |
2.645 |
2.663 |
2.669 |
2.664 |
2.651 |
2.631 |
2.605 |
2.575 |
2.543 |
2.509 |
2.474 |
2.439 |
2.404 |
2.371 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.175 |
-0.409 |
-0.482 |
-0.484 |
-0.462 |
-0.433 |
-0.402 |
-0.375 |
-0.354 |
-0.339 |
-0.330 |
-0.328 |
-0.331 |
-0.338 |
-0.349 |
-0.362 |
-0.378 |
-0.393 |
-0.410 |
-0.426 |
-0.441 |
-0.456 |
-0.469 |
-0.481 |
-0.491 |
-0.500 |
-0.508 |
-0.514 |
-0.518 |
-0.522 |
-0.524 |
-0.525 |
-0.525 |
-0.524 |
-0.523 |
-0.521 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.396 |
-5.552 |
-5.643 |
-5.670 |
-5.642 |
-5.574 |
-5.477 |
-5.361 |
-5.235 |
-5.106 |
-4.982 |
-4.865 |
-4.761 |
-4.670 |
-4.594 |
-4.535 |
-4.491 |
-4.462 |
-4.447 |
-4.444 |
-4.453 |
-4.472 |
-4.498 |
-4.530 |
-4.568 |
-4.609 |
-4.652 |
-4.696 |
-4.740 |
-4.784 |
-4.826 |
-4.866 |
-4.903 |
-4.938 |
-4.970 |
-4.998 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.014 |
-0.062 |
0.068 |
0.346 |
0.735 |
1.203 |
1.722 |
2.263 |
2.803 |
3.321 |
3.802 |
4.236 |
4.613 |
4.931 |
5.186 |
5.381 |
5.517 |
5.600 |
5.633 |
5.624 |
5.577 |
5.500 |
5.398 |
5.277 |
5.142 |
4.998 |
4.849 |
4.700 |
4.552 |
4.409 |
4.273 |
4.146 |
4.028 |
3.921 |
3.824 |
3.739 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.039 |
-0.503 |
-0.876 |
-1.127 |
-1.274 |
-1.336 |
-1.332 |
-1.277 |
-1.186 |
-1.073 |
-0.947 |
-0.820 |
-0.696 |
-0.583 |
-0.483 |
-0.400 |
-0.335 |
-0.288 |
-0.259 |
-0.247 |
-0.251 |
-0.269 |
-0.299 |
-0.340 |
-0.389 |
-0.445 |
-0.506 |
-0.571 |
-0.637 |
-0.704 |
-0.770 |
-0.834 |
-0.896 |
-0.954 |
-1.009 |
-1.060 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.039 |
-0.188 |
-0.280 |
-0.308 |
-0.280 |
-0.211 |
-0.110 |
0.011 |
0.143 |
0.278 |
0.410 |
0.533 |
0.645 |
0.741 |
0.822 |
0.887 |
0.935 |
0.968 |
0.986 |
0.991 |
0.984 |
0.967 |
0.942 |
0.910 |
0.874 |
0.834 |
0.791 |
0.747 |
0.703 |
0.660 |
0.619 |
0.579 |
0.542 |
0.508 |
0.477 |
0.449 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.470 |
-0.375 |
0.242 |
0.615 |
0.856 |
0.999 |
1.069 |
1.083 |
1.057 |
1.004 |
0.933 |
0.853 |
0.769 |
0.686 |
0.606 |
0.532 |
0.465 |
0.404 |
0.350 |
0.302 |
0.260 |
0.223 |
0.189 |
0.160 |
0.133 |
0.110 |
0.089 |
0.070 |
0.052 |
0.036 |
0.022 |
0.008 |
-0.004 |
-0.015 |
-0.025 |
-0.034 |
Wage ratio |
byw |
-0.056 |
0.054 |
0.299 |
0.584 |
0.864 |
1.125 |
1.360 |
1.563 |
1.734 |
1.872 |
1.980 |
2.060 |
2.115 |
2.148 |
2.162 |
2.161 |
2.147 |
2.123 |
2.091 |
2.054 |
2.014 |
1.971 |
1.929 |
1.887 |
1.847 |
1.809 |
1.774 |
1.742 |
1.714 |
1.689 |
1.668 |
1.651 |
1.637 |
1.626 |
1.618 |
1.614 |
|
|
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|
|
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