|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
|
|
Million 2005-kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-5.3 |
-43.5 |
-35.8 |
224.4 |
447.9 |
620.6 |
759.8 |
874.2 |
971.6 |
1055.6 |
1131.4 |
1197.9 |
1258.6 |
1314.3 |
1369.3 |
1421.3 |
1469.9 |
1516.8 |
1561.8 |
1606.8 |
1650.3 |
1691.1 |
1733.6 |
1773.4 |
1811.1 |
1846.8 |
1880.9 |
1913.3 |
1947.6 |
1976.6 |
2005.1 |
2032.6 |
2060.0 |
2084.6 |
2110.8 |
2136.0 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
13.4 |
26.1 |
8.6 |
-11.6 |
-27.7 |
-40.8 |
-51.7 |
-60.6 |
-68.3 |
-73.9 |
-78.5 |
-81.8 |
-84.2 |
-85.8 |
-87.0 |
-87.6 |
-88.0 |
-88.1 |
-88.1 |
-88.1 |
-88.1 |
-88.0 |
-88.3 |
-88.4 |
-88.8 |
-89.3 |
-89.6 |
-90.3 |
-91.4 |
-92.5 |
-93.4 |
-94.4 |
-95.6 |
-96.9 |
-97.9 |
-99.3 |
Investment |
fI |
-1402.2 |
-2847.2 |
-1344.0 |
-852.2 |
-778.3 |
-742.1 |
-698.7 |
-660.2 |
-633.7 |
-619.7 |
-616.7 |
-626.9 |
-644.1 |
-662.7 |
-686.5 |
-714.4 |
-744.8 |
-776.0 |
-806.3 |
-837.3 |
-868.3 |
-897.1 |
-920.9 |
-946.9 |
-971.5 |
-999.5 |
-1023.2 |
-1042.2 |
-1061.6 |
-1086.9 |
-1103.8 |
-1124.8 |
-1143.1 |
-1163.8 |
-1178.8 |
-1200.2 |
Export |
fE |
135.6 |
290.5 |
443.6 |
586.1 |
721.6 |
842.5 |
945.9 |
1028.3 |
1088.1 |
1125.4 |
1141.6 |
1138.3 |
1117.4 |
1081.3 |
1032.7 |
974.9 |
909.9 |
840.5 |
768.5 |
696.4 |
625.8 |
557.9 |
493.1 |
433.6 |
379.9 |
332.0 |
290.6 |
255.6 |
227.5 |
205.8 |
189.6 |
179.3 |
173.8 |
173.5 |
176.8 |
184.4 |
Import |
fM |
-852.7 |
-1758.6 |
-727.8 |
-314.8 |
-193.1 |
-110.3 |
-31.1 |
36.2 |
89.3 |
127.6 |
155.5 |
170.2 |
175.0 |
173.8 |
167.6 |
155.7 |
140.2 |
119.8 |
97.7 |
75.4 |
51.3 |
27.9 |
6.1 |
-15.4 |
-36.1 |
-59.3 |
-79.0 |
-96.0 |
-111.0 |
-127.5 |
-139.6 |
-153.5 |
-164.8 |
-175.3 |
-182.9 |
-189.9 |
GDP |
fY |
-419.9 |
-848.3 |
-226.6 |
224.5 |
505.1 |
726.4 |
912.1 |
1063.4 |
1180.1 |
1267.1 |
1327.0 |
1360.9 |
1376.1 |
1377.3 |
1366.4 |
1346.0 |
1316.9 |
1285.9 |
1253.0 |
1219.5 |
1187.5 |
1157.3 |
1134.0 |
1110.9 |
1091.6 |
1074.9 |
1063.8 |
1058.3 |
1058.8 |
1056.0 |
1061.8 |
1069.5 |
1081.8 |
1093.3 |
1112.3 |
1128.0 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-0.882 |
-1.625 |
-1.211 |
-0.674 |
-0.198 |
0.221 |
0.580 |
0.867 |
1.083 |
1.233 |
1.322 |
1.354 |
1.343 |
1.297 |
1.222 |
1.128 |
1.018 |
0.901 |
0.780 |
0.662 |
0.545 |
0.436 |
0.335 |
0.246 |
0.163 |
0.089 |
0.026 |
-0.026 |
-0.069 |
-0.104 |
-0.129 |
-0.150 |
-0.164 |
-0.173 |
-0.176 |
-0.176 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
0.656 |
1.154 |
0.799 |
0.423 |
0.104 |
-0.178 |
-0.418 |
-0.609 |
-0.751 |
-0.849 |
-0.905 |
-0.924 |
-0.912 |
-0.879 |
-0.827 |
-0.761 |
-0.686 |
-0.606 |
-0.523 |
-0.444 |
-0.364 |
-0.289 |
-0.223 |
-0.162 |
-0.106 |
-0.056 |
-0.014 |
0.021 |
0.049 |
0.073 |
0.090 |
0.103 |
0.112 |
0.118 |
0.119 |
0.119 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.022 |
-0.046 |
-0.026 |
-0.001 |
0.014 |
0.027 |
0.037 |
0.046 |
0.053 |
0.057 |
0.061 |
0.062 |
0.063 |
0.062 |
0.061 |
0.060 |
0.058 |
0.055 |
0.053 |
0.051 |
0.049 |
0.047 |
0.045 |
0.044 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.080 |
0.159 |
0.083 |
0.038 |
0.020 |
0.008 |
-0.002 |
-0.010 |
-0.015 |
-0.018 |
-0.020 |
-0.020 |
-0.020 |
-0.018 |
-0.016 |
-0.014 |
-0.012 |
-0.010 |
-0.008 |
-0.006 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.057 |
0.113 |
0.057 |
0.037 |
0.035 |
0.035 |
0.035 |
0.036 |
0.038 |
0.039 |
0.040 |
0.042 |
0.043 |
0.044 |
0.045 |
0.045 |
0.045 |
0.045 |
0.045 |
0.045 |
0.044 |
0.044 |
0.043 |
0.043 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
0.041 |
0.041 |
0.041 |
0.041 |
0.041 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.051 |
0.163 |
0.215 |
0.244 |
0.268 |
0.292 |
0.315 |
0.338 |
0.361 |
0.385 |
0.410 |
0.436 |
0.462 |
0.488 |
0.515 |
0.541 |
0.566 |
0.591 |
0.615 |
0.639 |
0.661 |
0.683 |
0.703 |
0.723 |
0.741 |
0.759 |
0.776 |
0.792 |
0.807 |
0.822 |
0.836 |
0.850 |
0.864 |
0.878 |
0.892 |
0.905 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.036 |
0.095 |
0.109 |
0.103 |
0.085 |
0.056 |
0.018 |
-0.028 |
-0.078 |
-0.130 |
-0.184 |
-0.237 |
-0.289 |
-0.338 |
-0.384 |
-0.427 |
-0.467 |
-0.503 |
-0.535 |
-0.564 |
-0.590 |
-0.613 |
-0.633 |
-0.652 |
-0.668 |
-0.682 |
-0.694 |
-0.706 |
-0.716 |
-0.726 |
-0.735 |
-0.744 |
-0.752 |
-0.760 |
-0.768 |
-0.776 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.002 |
-0.030 |
-0.090 |
-0.125 |
-0.145 |
-0.159 |
-0.169 |
-0.174 |
-0.176 |
-0.175 |
-0.172 |
-0.168 |
-0.162 |
-0.155 |
-0.148 |
-0.141 |
-0.134 |
-0.127 |
-0.121 |
-0.115 |
-0.110 |
-0.105 |
-0.101 |
-0.098 |
-0.094 |
-0.092 |
-0.089 |
-0.088 |
-0.086 |
-0.085 |
-0.084 |
-0.084 |
-0.083 |
-0.083 |
-0.083 |
-0.083 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.006 |
-0.009 |
-0.037 |
-0.048 |
-0.050 |
-0.050 |
-0.049 |
-0.048 |
-0.046 |
-0.044 |
-0.043 |
-0.042 |
-0.041 |
-0.040 |
-0.039 |
-0.039 |
-0.039 |
-0.039 |
-0.039 |
-0.040 |
-0.040 |
-0.041 |
-0.041 |
-0.042 |
-0.042 |
-0.043 |
-0.043 |
-0.044 |
-0.044 |
-0.045 |
-0.045 |
-0.045 |
-0.046 |
-0.046 |
-0.046 |
-0.046 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.011 |
-0.019 |
-0.020 |
-0.020 |
-0.018 |
-0.014 |
-0.010 |
-0.004 |
0.002 |
0.009 |
0.016 |
0.024 |
0.032 |
0.039 |
0.046 |
0.053 |
0.059 |
0.065 |
0.070 |
0.074 |
0.078 |
0.081 |
0.084 |
0.086 |
0.088 |
0.089 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.089 |
0.089 |
0.088 |
0.088 |
0.087 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.012 |
-0.040 |
-0.067 |
-0.084 |
-0.093 |
-0.094 |
-0.089 |
-0.079 |
-0.064 |
-0.047 |
-0.027 |
-0.006 |
0.015 |
0.036 |
0.055 |
0.074 |
0.091 |
0.107 |
0.120 |
0.132 |
0.142 |
0.150 |
0.156 |
0.161 |
0.165 |
0.167 |
0.168 |
0.168 |
0.168 |
0.167 |
0.165 |
0.163 |
0.160 |
0.158 |
0.155 |
0.152 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.010 |
-0.030 |
-0.047 |
-0.060 |
-0.070 |
-0.077 |
-0.080 |
-0.081 |
-0.080 |
-0.076 |
-0.071 |
-0.064 |
-0.057 |
-0.050 |
-0.042 |
-0.034 |
-0.026 |
-0.019 |
-0.012 |
-0.006 |
0.000 |
0.005 |
0.009 |
0.013 |
0.016 |
0.019 |
0.021 |
0.022 |
0.023 |
0.024 |
0.024 |
0.024 |
0.024 |
0.023 |
0.023 |
0.022 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.009 |
-0.026 |
-0.040 |
-0.051 |
-0.059 |
-0.063 |
-0.065 |
-0.065 |
-0.063 |
-0.060 |
-0.056 |
-0.051 |
-0.045 |
-0.039 |
-0.034 |
-0.028 |
-0.023 |
-0.018 |
-0.014 |
-0.010 |
-0.007 |
-0.004 |
-0.002 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.011 |
0.020 |
0.001 |
0.021 |
0.039 |
0.053 |
0.063 |
0.070 |
0.075 |
0.078 |
0.080 |
0.081 |
0.081 |
0.081 |
0.080 |
0.080 |
0.079 |
0.078 |
0.077 |
0.077 |
0.077 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
Wage ratio |
byw |
0.000 |
0.002 |
-0.015 |
-0.019 |
-0.016 |
-0.010 |
-0.003 |
0.004 |
0.011 |
0.018 |
0.025 |
0.031 |
0.037 |
0.041 |
0.045 |
0.048 |
0.051 |
0.053 |
0.054 |
0.055 |
0.055 |
0.055 |
0.055 |
0.054 |
0.054 |
0.053 |
0.052 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.047 |
0.046 |
0.045 |
0.044 |
0.043 |
0.042 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|