|
|
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
|
|
Million 2005-kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-763.8 |
-750.4 |
-1027.2 |
-1249.4 |
-1390.8 |
-1464.8 |
-1479.8 |
-1448.5 |
-1379.7 |
-1278.5 |
-1154.2 |
-1010.7 |
-855.3 |
-692.6 |
-525.9 |
-360.1 |
-199.0 |
-45.5 |
99.7 |
233.3 |
354.5 |
460.1 |
555.1 |
634.6 |
700.3 |
752.6 |
792.3 |
820.8 |
841.0 |
848.4 |
847.4 |
837.6 |
823.1 |
798.4 |
772.1 |
741.3 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-113.3 |
-50.1 |
-34.2 |
-24.5 |
-15.9 |
-8.1 |
-1.4 |
4.0 |
7.7 |
10.2 |
11.5 |
11.6 |
10.8 |
8.9 |
6.6 |
3.9 |
0.9 |
-2.2 |
-5.2 |
-8.1 |
-10.4 |
-12.5 |
-14.4 |
-15.8 |
-17.0 |
-17.7 |
-17.9 |
-17.6 |
-17.3 |
-16.6 |
-15.8 |
-14.8 |
-14.0 |
-12.7 |
-11.2 |
-9.8 |
Investment |
fI |
80.8 |
561.4 |
491.2 |
367.4 |
271.3 |
193.8 |
119.7 |
58.3 |
8.3 |
-26.9 |
-48.3 |
-62.9 |
-64.7 |
-57.0 |
-46.1 |
-27.8 |
-9.3 |
12.8 |
34.2 |
56.2 |
71.8 |
87.1 |
106.3 |
114.5 |
122.8 |
126.8 |
126.4 |
127.7 |
130.8 |
124.0 |
119.4 |
107.1 |
105.1 |
93.8 |
85.2 |
74.8 |
Export |
fE |
2118.2 |
2553.7 |
2910.1 |
3128.2 |
3256.1 |
3293.4 |
3263.1 |
3175.6 |
3044.4 |
2879.0 |
2689.0 |
2481.6 |
2263.0 |
2037.6 |
1809.6 |
1583.6 |
1362.0 |
1146.4 |
939.2 |
741.4 |
555.2 |
381.0 |
218.8 |
70.0 |
-65.4 |
-186.8 |
-294.5 |
-388.1 |
-468.1 |
-534.6 |
-588.3 |
-629.6 |
-659.0 |
-677.0 |
-685.0 |
-682.9 |
Import |
fM |
-215.8 |
235.4 |
243.9 |
197.1 |
203.9 |
224.6 |
247.8 |
270.7 |
293.0 |
315.7 |
337.4 |
354.4 |
372.3 |
385.7 |
395.3 |
404.1 |
406.5 |
405.9 |
400.9 |
391.0 |
375.8 |
357.0 |
337.9 |
311.9 |
284.4 |
253.1 |
219.8 |
187.5 |
158.9 |
124.3 |
92.5 |
58.4 |
32.8 |
1.3 |
-24.6 |
-48.9 |
GDP |
fY |
1341.3 |
1814.8 |
1797.6 |
1714.4 |
1603.4 |
1480.5 |
1352.5 |
1227.4 |
1106.8 |
997.5 |
899.8 |
813.0 |
737.1 |
672.9 |
616.0 |
567.4 |
523.5 |
483.9 |
447.1 |
413.0 |
377.4 |
341.0 |
309.6 |
272.5 |
236.0 |
200.0 |
162.5 |
129.3 |
99.3 |
65.8 |
35.8 |
3.8 |
-19.5 |
-45.0 |
-65.3 |
-83.3 |
|
|
1000 Personer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
2.564 |
3.697 |
4.278 |
4.536 |
4.566 |
4.449 |
4.236 |
3.966 |
3.664 |
3.353 |
3.044 |
2.744 |
2.460 |
2.194 |
1.943 |
1.713 |
1.497 |
1.298 |
1.113 |
0.942 |
0.778 |
0.628 |
0.490 |
0.360 |
0.240 |
0.127 |
0.022 |
-0.070 |
-0.148 |
-0.220 |
-0.281 |
-0.336 |
-0.377 |
-0.414 |
-0.439 |
-0.457 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-1.906 |
-2.590 |
-2.945 |
-3.100 |
-3.106 |
-3.017 |
-2.867 |
-2.679 |
-2.473 |
-2.260 |
-2.051 |
-1.848 |
-1.655 |
-1.475 |
-1.307 |
-1.152 |
-1.005 |
-0.871 |
-0.746 |
-0.631 |
-0.520 |
-0.418 |
-0.327 |
-0.237 |
-0.157 |
-0.080 |
-0.010 |
0.052 |
0.104 |
0.153 |
0.194 |
0.231 |
0.257 |
0.283 |
0.299 |
0.310 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.064 |
0.127 |
0.130 |
0.122 |
0.115 |
0.107 |
0.100 |
0.092 |
0.086 |
0.080 |
0.075 |
0.072 |
0.069 |
0.067 |
0.066 |
0.066 |
0.065 |
0.065 |
0.065 |
0.065 |
0.065 |
0.065 |
0.065 |
0.064 |
0.064 |
0.063 |
0.062 |
0.061 |
0.060 |
0.059 |
0.058 |
0.057 |
0.056 |
0.055 |
0.054 |
0.054 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.081 |
-0.110 |
-0.082 |
-0.048 |
-0.023 |
-0.003 |
0.014 |
0.026 |
0.035 |
0.040 |
0.043 |
0.043 |
0.041 |
0.038 |
0.033 |
0.028 |
0.022 |
0.017 |
0.011 |
0.005 |
0.000 |
-0.004 |
-0.008 |
-0.011 |
-0.014 |
-0.016 |
-0.017 |
-0.019 |
-0.019 |
-0.020 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
-0.019 |
-0.018 |
-0.017 |
-0.016 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.017 |
0.017 |
0.048 |
0.074 |
0.092 |
0.104 |
0.113 |
0.118 |
0.121 |
0.120 |
0.118 |
0.115 |
0.111 |
0.105 |
0.100 |
0.094 |
0.088 |
0.082 |
0.076 |
0.071 |
0.066 |
0.061 |
0.057 |
0.053 |
0.050 |
0.047 |
0.044 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.038 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.019 |
-0.004 |
0.009 |
0.059 |
0.131 |
0.217 |
0.312 |
0.410 |
0.509 |
0.605 |
0.697 |
0.784 |
0.863 |
0.936 |
1.000 |
1.057 |
1.107 |
1.149 |
1.184 |
1.214 |
1.237 |
1.256 |
1.269 |
1.279 |
1.286 |
1.289 |
1.291 |
1.291 |
1.288 |
1.285 |
1.282 |
1.278 |
1.272 |
1.269 |
1.265 |
1.262 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.143 |
-0.300 |
-0.423 |
-0.533 |
-0.632 |
-0.720 |
-0.797 |
-0.863 |
-0.921 |
-0.970 |
-1.012 |
-1.049 |
-1.082 |
-1.111 |
-1.137 |
-1.161 |
-1.183 |
-1.204 |
-1.223 |
-1.241 |
-1.258 |
-1.273 |
-1.287 |
-1.300 |
-1.312 |
-1.321 |
-1.330 |
-1.336 |
-1.342 |
-1.346 |
-1.348 |
-1.350 |
-1.350 |
-1.350 |
-1.348 |
-1.346 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.148 |
-0.155 |
-0.148 |
-0.138 |
-0.126 |
-0.113 |
-0.101 |
-0.090 |
-0.080 |
-0.070 |
-0.062 |
-0.055 |
-0.048 |
-0.043 |
-0.037 |
-0.032 |
-0.027 |
-0.022 |
-0.017 |
-0.012 |
-0.007 |
-0.003 |
0.002 |
0.006 |
0.011 |
0.015 |
0.019 |
0.022 |
0.025 |
0.028 |
0.030 |
0.032 |
0.034 |
0.035 |
0.036 |
0.036 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.065 |
-0.041 |
-0.021 |
-0.007 |
0.002 |
0.009 |
0.014 |
0.017 |
0.019 |
0.020 |
0.021 |
0.021 |
0.021 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.008 |
0.008 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
User cost |
uim |
0.594 |
0.657 |
0.687 |
0.713 |
0.739 |
0.764 |
0.789 |
0.812 |
0.834 |
0.855 |
0.874 |
0.891 |
0.907 |
0.921 |
0.934 |
0.945 |
0.956 |
0.965 |
0.973 |
0.980 |
0.987 |
0.992 |
0.997 |
1.000 |
1.003 |
1.005 |
1.007 |
1.008 |
1.008 |
1.008 |
1.008 |
1.007 |
1.006 |
1.004 |
1.002 |
1.000 |
Wage |
lna |
0.073 |
0.153 |
0.224 |
0.298 |
0.375 |
0.450 |
0.523 |
0.591 |
0.654 |
0.713 |
0.767 |
0.815 |
0.859 |
0.899 |
0.934 |
0.965 |
0.993 |
1.017 |
1.038 |
1.056 |
1.072 |
1.085 |
1.095 |
1.103 |
1.109 |
1.113 |
1.115 |
1.116 |
1.115 |
1.113 |
1.109 |
1.105 |
1.100 |
1.094 |
1.087 |
1.080 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.332 |
0.422 |
0.468 |
0.509 |
0.550 |
0.590 |
0.630 |
0.667 |
0.703 |
0.737 |
0.769 |
0.799 |
0.827 |
0.852 |
0.876 |
0.898 |
0.919 |
0.937 |
0.954 |
0.970 |
0.983 |
0.996 |
1.007 |
1.017 |
1.025 |
1.032 |
1.038 |
1.043 |
1.047 |
1.050 |
1.052 |
1.053 |
1.053 |
1.053 |
1.053 |
1.051 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.381 |
-0.308 |
-0.278 |
-0.252 |
-0.226 |
-0.201 |
-0.177 |
-0.154 |
-0.132 |
-0.113 |
-0.094 |
-0.078 |
-0.063 |
-0.050 |
-0.038 |
-0.027 |
-0.017 |
-0.009 |
-0.002 |
0.005 |
0.010 |
0.015 |
0.019 |
0.022 |
0.025 |
0.027 |
0.028 |
0.029 |
0.029 |
0.029 |
0.028 |
0.027 |
0.026 |
0.024 |
0.022 |
0.020 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.042 |
0.043 |
0.013 |
-0.019 |
-0.042 |
-0.059 |
-0.071 |
-0.078 |
-0.082 |
-0.082 |
-0.080 |
-0.075 |
-0.069 |
-0.061 |
-0.052 |
-0.043 |
-0.034 |
-0.025 |
-0.016 |
-0.008 |
-0.001 |
0.006 |
0.012 |
0.017 |
0.021 |
0.025 |
0.028 |
0.030 |
0.031 |
0.033 |
0.033 |
0.033 |
0.033 |
0.033 |
0.032 |
0.031 |
Wage ratio |
byw |
-0.051 |
-0.065 |
-0.049 |
-0.033 |
-0.019 |
-0.007 |
0.003 |
0.012 |
0.019 |
0.025 |
0.030 |
0.034 |
0.037 |
0.039 |
0.041 |
0.042 |
0.043 |
0.043 |
0.043 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.037 |
0.035 |
0.033 |
0.030 |
0.028 |
0.025 |
0.022 |
0.019 |
0.017 |
0.014 |
0.011 |
0.009 |
0.006 |
|
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