|
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-3.6 |
-92.6 |
7.3 |
331.5 |
639.4 |
888.0 |
1081.1 |
1229.2 |
1343.3 |
1432.7 |
1505.6 |
1568.5 |
1626.5 |
1683.4 |
1741.9 |
1803.4 |
1868.8 |
1938.0 |
2010.6 |
2085.8 |
2162.8 |
2240.6 |
2318.2 |
2394.7 |
2469.3 |
2541.4 |
2610.6 |
2676.6 |
2739.1 |
2798.2 |
2854.0 |
2906.6 |
2956.4 |
3003.6 |
3048.6 |
3091.9 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
-0.1 |
-0.1 |
-0.2 |
-0.2 |
-0.3 |
-0.4 |
-0.4 |
-0.4 |
-0.5 |
-0.5 |
-0.5 |
-0.6 |
-0.6 |
-0.6 |
-0.6 |
-0.6 |
-0.6 |
-0.7 |
-0.7 |
-0.7 |
Investment |
fI |
-2395.3 |
-2941.0 |
-1517.7 |
-770.7 |
-485.0 |
-344.4 |
-260.7 |
-218.9 |
-215.1 |
-243.2 |
-295.6 |
-364.8 |
-443.9 |
-527.0 |
-609.6 |
-688.3 |
-760.9 |
-826.2 |
-883.7 |
-933.6 |
-976.3 |
-1012.8 |
-1044.1 |
-1071.1 |
-1095.0 |
-1116.6 |
-1136.8 |
-1156.3 |
-1175.6 |
-1195.1 |
-1215.1 |
-1235.9 |
-1257.5 |
-1280.0 |
-1303.3 |
-1327.3 |
Export |
fE |
314.1 |
588.0 |
850.3 |
1098.1 |
1323.0 |
1517.5 |
1674.9 |
1791.0 |
1864.5 |
1896.3 |
1889.6 |
1848.1 |
1777.1 |
1681.9 |
1568.3 |
1441.5 |
1306.9 |
1168.9 |
1031.6 |
898.3 |
772.0 |
654.7 |
548.1 |
453.4 |
371.1 |
301.6 |
244.7 |
200.2 |
167.5 |
145.9 |
134.6 |
132.4 |
138.6 |
152.1 |
171.8 |
196.9 |
Import |
fM |
-1269.6 |
-1511.9 |
-689.0 |
-187.5 |
55.5 |
209.8 |
324.0 |
406.9 |
461.5 |
492.2 |
503.5 |
500.1 |
486.2 |
465.1 |
439.8 |
412.2 |
384.2 |
356.7 |
330.5 |
306.1 |
283.6 |
263.1 |
244.5 |
227.8 |
212.7 |
199.2 |
187.0 |
176.2 |
166.7 |
158.3 |
151.1 |
145.0 |
140.0 |
136.1 |
133.3 |
131.6 |
GDP |
fY |
-820.3 |
-939.9 |
3.0 |
807.0 |
1371.7 |
1792.2 |
2104.9 |
2322.4 |
2455.1 |
2515.3 |
2516.7 |
2472.6 |
2395.9 |
2297.9 |
2188.3 |
2075.2 |
1964.8 |
1861.7 |
1769.1 |
1689.0 |
1622.5 |
1569.8 |
1530.6 |
1504.1 |
1489.4 |
1485.4 |
1490.6 |
1504.0 |
1524.5 |
1550.9 |
1582.2 |
1617.5 |
1656.1 |
1697.3 |
1740.5 |
1785.2 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-1.329 |
-1.648 |
-1.074 |
-0.355 |
0.289 |
0.837 |
1.280 |
1.613 |
1.835 |
1.954 |
1.983 |
1.937 |
1.833 |
1.685 |
1.509 |
1.317 |
1.119 |
0.924 |
0.738 |
0.565 |
0.408 |
0.269 |
0.148 |
0.046 |
-0.039 |
-0.108 |
-0.162 |
-0.203 |
-0.232 |
-0.251 |
-0.261 |
-0.264 |
-0.261 |
-0.253 |
-0.241 |
-0.226 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
0.719 |
0.841 |
0.518 |
0.151 |
-0.170 |
-0.441 |
-0.661 |
-0.824 |
-0.931 |
-0.987 |
-0.998 |
-0.973 |
-0.918 |
-0.842 |
-0.752 |
-0.655 |
-0.555 |
-0.457 |
-0.364 |
-0.277 |
-0.199 |
-0.130 |
-0.070 |
-0.019 |
0.023 |
0.057 |
0.084 |
0.104 |
0.118 |
0.127 |
0.132 |
0.133 |
0.131 |
0.127 |
0.121 |
0.113 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.034 |
-0.045 |
-0.023 |
0.001 |
0.020 |
0.036 |
0.049 |
0.058 |
0.063 |
0.066 |
0.066 |
0.063 |
0.060 |
0.055 |
0.050 |
0.045 |
0.040 |
0.035 |
0.030 |
0.026 |
0.023 |
0.020 |
0.018 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.107 |
0.141 |
0.082 |
0.038 |
0.013 |
-0.004 |
-0.016 |
-0.023 |
-0.027 |
-0.027 |
-0.025 |
-0.021 |
-0.016 |
-0.011 |
-0.006 |
-0.002 |
0.002 |
0.005 |
0.008 |
0.010 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.008 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.006 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.074 |
0.096 |
0.059 |
0.039 |
0.033 |
0.032 |
0.033 |
0.035 |
0.037 |
0.039 |
0.041 |
0.042 |
0.043 |
0.044 |
0.044 |
0.043 |
0.042 |
0.040 |
0.038 |
0.036 |
0.034 |
0.032 |
0.029 |
0.027 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
0.022 |
0.021 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.122 |
0.252 |
0.288 |
0.301 |
0.310 |
0.317 |
0.324 |
0.332 |
0.341 |
0.353 |
0.368 |
0.384 |
0.403 |
0.422 |
0.442 |
0.462 |
0.481 |
0.499 |
0.516 |
0.531 |
0.544 |
0.554 |
0.564 |
0.571 |
0.576 |
0.580 |
0.583 |
0.585 |
0.585 |
0.586 |
0.585 |
0.585 |
0.584 |
0.583 |
0.582 |
0.582 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.054 |
0.106 |
0.117 |
0.107 |
0.081 |
0.042 |
-0.008 |
-0.064 |
-0.123 |
-0.183 |
-0.240 |
-0.294 |
-0.343 |
-0.385 |
-0.421 |
-0.451 |
-0.475 |
-0.494 |
-0.507 |
-0.516 |
-0.521 |
-0.524 |
-0.524 |
-0.521 |
-0.518 |
-0.513 |
-0.508 |
-0.502 |
-0.496 |
-0.490 |
-0.484 |
-0.478 |
-0.473 |
-0.468 |
-0.464 |
-0.459 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.010 |
-0.027 |
-0.095 |
-0.138 |
-0.162 |
-0.176 |
-0.182 |
-0.183 |
-0.179 |
-0.171 |
-0.162 |
-0.151 |
-0.139 |
-0.128 |
-0.117 |
-0.106 |
-0.097 |
-0.089 |
-0.081 |
-0.075 |
-0.069 |
-0.065 |
-0.061 |
-0.058 |
-0.056 |
-0.054 |
-0.052 |
-0.051 |
-0.050 |
-0.049 |
-0.049 |
-0.049 |
-0.049 |
-0.049 |
-0.049 |
-0.050 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.002 |
-0.012 |
-0.044 |
-0.060 |
-0.066 |
-0.067 |
-0.067 |
-0.065 |
-0.063 |
-0.060 |
-0.058 |
-0.056 |
-0.054 |
-0.053 |
-0.052 |
-0.052 |
-0.052 |
-0.053 |
-0.053 |
-0.054 |
-0.055 |
-0.056 |
-0.057 |
-0.058 |
-0.059 |
-0.060 |
-0.061 |
-0.061 |
-0.062 |
-0.063 |
-0.063 |
-0.063 |
-0.064 |
-0.064 |
-0.064 |
-0.064 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.011 |
-0.012 |
-0.010 |
-0.014 |
-0.018 |
-0.018 |
-0.015 |
-0.008 |
0.000 |
0.011 |
0.022 |
0.034 |
0.047 |
0.059 |
0.070 |
0.081 |
0.091 |
0.100 |
0.108 |
0.114 |
0.120 |
0.125 |
0.128 |
0.131 |
0.133 |
0.135 |
0.136 |
0.136 |
0.136 |
0.136 |
0.135 |
0.134 |
0.133 |
0.132 |
0.131 |
0.130 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.025 |
-0.060 |
-0.089 |
-0.105 |
-0.107 |
-0.099 |
-0.082 |
-0.058 |
-0.029 |
0.004 |
0.038 |
0.072 |
0.105 |
0.136 |
0.164 |
0.189 |
0.211 |
0.229 |
0.244 |
0.256 |
0.265 |
0.272 |
0.276 |
0.278 |
0.278 |
0.278 |
0.275 |
0.272 |
0.269 |
0.265 |
0.260 |
0.256 |
0.251 |
0.247 |
0.242 |
0.238 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.021 |
-0.045 |
-0.066 |
-0.081 |
-0.092 |
-0.097 |
-0.099 |
-0.097 |
-0.091 |
-0.083 |
-0.074 |
-0.063 |
-0.052 |
-0.040 |
-0.029 |
-0.018 |
-0.008 |
0.001 |
0.009 |
0.016 |
0.022 |
0.028 |
0.032 |
0.035 |
0.038 |
0.040 |
0.041 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.037 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.026 |
-0.045 |
-0.060 |
-0.070 |
-0.077 |
-0.080 |
-0.081 |
-0.078 |
-0.074 |
-0.068 |
-0.062 |
-0.054 |
-0.047 |
-0.040 |
-0.033 |
-0.026 |
-0.020 |
-0.015 |
-0.010 |
-0.006 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
-0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.022 |
0.016 |
0.002 |
0.012 |
0.027 |
0.040 |
0.050 |
0.056 |
0.060 |
0.062 |
0.063 |
0.062 |
0.061 |
0.060 |
0.059 |
0.058 |
0.058 |
0.058 |
0.058 |
0.059 |
0.060 |
0.061 |
0.063 |
0.065 |
0.066 |
0.068 |
0.070 |
0.072 |
0.073 |
0.074 |
0.076 |
0.077 |
0.077 |
0.078 |
0.079 |
0.079 |
Wage share |
byw |
0.000 |
-0.005 |
-0.020 |
-0.024 |
-0.019 |
-0.010 |
0.002 |
0.015 |
0.028 |
0.041 |
0.053 |
0.064 |
0.073 |
0.080 |
0.087 |
0.091 |
0.094 |
0.096 |
0.097 |
0.097 |
0.097 |
0.095 |
0.094 |
0.092 |
0.089 |
0.087 |
0.085 |
0.082 |
0.080 |
0.078 |
0.076 |
0.074 |
0.072 |
0.071 |
0.070 |
0.068 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|