|
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
|
|
Million 2010-kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
53.4 |
296.7 |
405.3 |
458.1 |
489.8 |
512.9 |
534.9 |
559.2 |
587.4 |
620.1 |
656.7 |
696.4 |
738.1 |
780.5 |
822.4 |
862.7 |
900.5 |
935.1 |
965.9 |
992.7 |
1015.5 |
1034.1 |
1048.8 |
1059.8 |
1067.3 |
1071.8 |
1073.6 |
1073.2 |
1070.8 |
1067.0 |
1062.0 |
1056.1 |
1049.8 |
1043.2 |
1036.6 |
1030.2 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
0.0 |
120.7 |
232.1 |
338.4 |
439.9 |
536.8 |
629.3 |
717.6 |
801.9 |
882.4 |
959.3 |
1032.8 |
1102.9 |
1169.8 |
1233.7 |
1294.7 |
1353.0 |
1408.5 |
1461.6 |
1512.2 |
1560.5 |
1606.6 |
1650.5 |
1692.5 |
1732.4 |
1770.6 |
1806.9 |
1841.6 |
1874.7 |
1906.2 |
1936.2 |
1964.8 |
1992.1 |
2018.1 |
2042.9 |
2066.5 |
Investment |
fI |
2379.7 |
2528.0 |
2423.4 |
2341.2 |
2290.9 |
2246.0 |
2202.2 |
2161.2 |
2125.4 |
2096.3 |
2074.4 |
2059.4 |
2050.7 |
2047.4 |
2048.2 |
2052.2 |
2058.2 |
2065.3 |
2072.7 |
2079.7 |
2086.3 |
2091.7 |
2095.9 |
2099.0 |
2100.8 |
2101.6 |
2101.4 |
2100.4 |
2098.8 |
2096.8 |
2094.4 |
2091.9 |
2089.3 |
2086.9 |
2084.6 |
2082.5 |
Export |
fE |
-59.9 |
-148.5 |
-260.5 |
-392.9 |
-543.1 |
-707.2 |
-880.8 |
-1059.4 |
-1238.7 |
-1414.8 |
-1584.5 |
-1745.2 |
-1894.8 |
-2031.9 |
-2155.7 |
-2265.5 |
-2361.4 |
-2443.5 |
-2512.2 |
-2568.4 |
-2612.9 |
-2646.8 |
-2670.8 |
-2686.2 |
-2694.0 |
-2695.2 |
-2690.9 |
-2682.0 |
-2669.3 |
-2653.8 |
-2636.2 |
-2617.2 |
-2597.5 |
-2577.5 |
-2557.9 |
-2538.9 |
Import |
fM |
767.2 |
906.3 |
876.7 |
846.1 |
827.5 |
806.5 |
782.4 |
756.9 |
731.7 |
708.2 |
686.9 |
668.0 |
651.5 |
637.3 |
625.0 |
614.4 |
605.1 |
597.0 |
589.8 |
583.3 |
577.7 |
572.5 |
568.1 |
564.2 |
560.9 |
558.4 |
556.4 |
555.2 |
554.6 |
554.8 |
555.6 |
557.0 |
559.0 |
561.6 |
564.7 |
568.2 |
GDP |
fY |
1591.9 |
1879.7 |
1921.9 |
1905.7 |
1866.2 |
1807.8 |
1738.7 |
1667.1 |
1599.4 |
1540.1 |
1492.1 |
1456.7 |
1434.4 |
1424.5 |
1426.1 |
1438.0 |
1458.8 |
1486.8 |
1520.8 |
1559.4 |
1601.6 |
1645.9 |
1691.9 |
1738.7 |
1785.7 |
1832.4 |
1878.3 |
1923.3 |
1967.0 |
2009.3 |
2050.1 |
2089.1 |
2126.4 |
2161.9 |
2195.5 |
2227.3 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
1.367 |
1.733 |
1.825 |
1.802 |
1.700 |
1.544 |
1.352 |
1.141 |
0.925 |
0.714 |
0.516 |
0.336 |
0.175 |
0.037 |
-0.080 |
-0.176 |
-0.253 |
-0.312 |
-0.356 |
-0.387 |
-0.406 |
-0.415 |
-0.417 |
-0.412 |
-0.402 |
-0.389 |
-0.372 |
-0.353 |
-0.332 |
-0.310 |
-0.289 |
-0.267 |
-0.245 |
-0.225 |
-0.205 |
-0.186 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-0.739 |
-0.886 |
-0.921 |
-0.905 |
-0.851 |
-0.771 |
-0.673 |
-0.566 |
-0.457 |
-0.351 |
-0.252 |
-0.162 |
-0.082 |
-0.013 |
0.045 |
0.092 |
0.130 |
0.159 |
0.181 |
0.196 |
0.205 |
0.209 |
0.210 |
0.207 |
0.202 |
0.195 |
0.186 |
0.177 |
0.166 |
0.155 |
0.144 |
0.133 |
0.123 |
0.112 |
0.102 |
0.093 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.058 |
-0.046 |
-0.046 |
-0.050 |
-0.056 |
-0.063 |
-0.071 |
-0.079 |
-0.087 |
-0.095 |
-0.102 |
-0.108 |
-0.114 |
-0.119 |
-0.124 |
-0.128 |
-0.132 |
-0.135 |
-0.137 |
-0.140 |
-0.142 |
-0.144 |
-0.146 |
-0.148 |
-0.150 |
-0.152 |
-0.154 |
-0.155 |
-0.157 |
-0.159 |
-0.160 |
-0.162 |
-0.164 |
-0.165 |
-0.167 |
-0.168 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.011 |
-0.013 |
-0.015 |
-0.013 |
-0.011 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.002 |
0.001 |
0.003 |
0.004 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.004 |
0.003 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.046 |
-0.059 |
-0.061 |
-0.063 |
-0.067 |
-0.071 |
-0.076 |
-0.081 |
-0.086 |
-0.092 |
-0.098 |
-0.103 |
-0.109 |
-0.115 |
-0.120 |
-0.125 |
-0.130 |
-0.135 |
-0.139 |
-0.143 |
-0.146 |
-0.149 |
-0.152 |
-0.155 |
-0.157 |
-0.159 |
-0.161 |
-0.163 |
-0.165 |
-0.166 |
-0.168 |
-0.169 |
-0.170 |
-0.171 |
-0.173 |
-0.174 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.103 |
-0.193 |
-0.270 |
-0.345 |
-0.419 |
-0.493 |
-0.568 |
-0.643 |
-0.719 |
-0.797 |
-0.876 |
-0.957 |
-1.040 |
-1.125 |
-1.211 |
-1.298 |
-1.387 |
-1.476 |
-1.566 |
-1.656 |
-1.746 |
-1.836 |
-1.925 |
-2.013 |
-2.101 |
-2.188 |
-2.273 |
-2.357 |
-2.440 |
-2.521 |
-2.601 |
-2.680 |
-2.757 |
-2.833 |
-2.908 |
-2.981 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.024 |
0.056 |
0.091 |
0.130 |
0.173 |
0.222 |
0.277 |
0.337 |
0.403 |
0.475 |
0.550 |
0.630 |
0.712 |
0.796 |
0.882 |
0.969 |
1.056 |
1.143 |
1.230 |
1.316 |
1.402 |
1.486 |
1.570 |
1.652 |
1.734 |
1.814 |
1.893 |
1.970 |
2.047 |
2.122 |
2.196 |
2.269 |
2.341 |
2.411 |
2.481 |
2.550 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.051 |
-0.026 |
0.010 |
0.044 |
0.076 |
0.107 |
0.136 |
0.162 |
0.186 |
0.208 |
0.227 |
0.244 |
0.259 |
0.272 |
0.283 |
0.293 |
0.302 |
0.309 |
0.315 |
0.320 |
0.325 |
0.328 |
0.331 |
0.334 |
0.335 |
0.336 |
0.337 |
0.337 |
0.337 |
0.336 |
0.335 |
0.334 |
0.333 |
0.331 |
0.329 |
0.327 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.034 |
-0.032 |
-0.026 |
-0.023 |
-0.021 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
-0.020 |
-0.021 |
-0.023 |
-0.024 |
-0.026 |
-0.028 |
-0.030 |
-0.032 |
-0.034 |
-0.035 |
-0.037 |
-0.038 |
-0.039 |
-0.040 |
-0.041 |
-0.042 |
-0.042 |
-0.043 |
-0.043 |
-0.043 |
-0.043 |
-0.043 |
-0.043 |
-0.043 |
-0.043 |
-0.043 |
-0.042 |
-0.042 |
-0.042 |
User cost |
uim |
0.005 |
0.014 |
0.023 |
0.035 |
0.047 |
0.059 |
0.070 |
0.080 |
0.090 |
0.098 |
0.105 |
0.111 |
0.116 |
0.120 |
0.122 |
0.124 |
0.126 |
0.126 |
0.126 |
0.125 |
0.125 |
0.123 |
0.122 |
0.120 |
0.118 |
0.117 |
0.115 |
0.113 |
0.111 |
0.109 |
0.107 |
0.105 |
0.103 |
0.102 |
0.100 |
0.099 |
Wage |
lna |
0.015 |
0.045 |
0.077 |
0.110 |
0.141 |
0.170 |
0.197 |
0.219 |
0.238 |
0.253 |
0.265 |
0.273 |
0.278 |
0.280 |
0.280 |
0.279 |
0.275 |
0.271 |
0.265 |
0.259 |
0.252 |
0.245 |
0.238 |
0.230 |
0.223 |
0.216 |
0.209 |
0.203 |
0.197 |
0.191 |
0.185 |
0.180 |
0.176 |
0.171 |
0.167 |
0.163 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.006 |
0.017 |
0.029 |
0.041 |
0.054 |
0.066 |
0.078 |
0.089 |
0.099 |
0.108 |
0.115 |
0.122 |
0.127 |
0.131 |
0.134 |
0.136 |
0.137 |
0.138 |
0.138 |
0.137 |
0.136 |
0.134 |
0.133 |
0.130 |
0.128 |
0.126 |
0.123 |
0.121 |
0.118 |
0.116 |
0.113 |
0.111 |
0.108 |
0.106 |
0.104 |
0.101 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.004 |
0.011 |
0.019 |
0.027 |
0.035 |
0.043 |
0.050 |
0.057 |
0.062 |
0.067 |
0.071 |
0.074 |
0.076 |
0.078 |
0.079 |
0.079 |
0.079 |
0.078 |
0.077 |
0.076 |
0.075 |
0.073 |
0.071 |
0.070 |
0.068 |
0.066 |
0.064 |
0.062 |
0.061 |
0.059 |
0.057 |
0.056 |
0.054 |
0.053 |
0.052 |
0.051 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.038 |
-0.018 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.001 |
0.003 |
0.005 |
0.007 |
0.009 |
0.011 |
0.013 |
0.014 |
0.015 |
0.016 |
0.017 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.019 |
0.019 |
0.019 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.013 |
-0.006 |
0.004 |
0.012 |
0.019 |
0.024 |
0.027 |
0.029 |
0.029 |
0.029 |
0.027 |
0.024 |
0.021 |
0.018 |
0.014 |
0.010 |
0.006 |
0.003 |
-0.001 |
-0.005 |
-0.008 |
-0.011 |
-0.014 |
-0.016 |
-0.018 |
-0.020 |
-0.022 |
-0.024 |
-0.025 |
-0.026 |
-0.027 |
-0.028 |
-0.028 |
-0.029 |
-0.029 |
-0.029 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|