|
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
615.1 |
1844.0 |
2763.9 |
3378.8 |
3705.8 |
3792.9 |
3698.8 |
3475.2 |
3168.2 |
2815.5 |
2447.7 |
2088.1 |
1753.5 |
1455.4 |
1200.6 |
992.0 |
829.9 |
712.7 |
636.7 |
597.5 |
590.4 |
610.3 |
652.5 |
712.5 |
786.3 |
870.1 |
960.9 |
1056.1 |
1153.4 |
1251.0 |
1347.4 |
1441.4 |
1532.1 |
1618.8 |
1701.0 |
1778.2 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-40.9 |
-41.5 |
-39.3 |
-36.9 |
-34.3 |
-31.9 |
-29.6 |
-27.5 |
-25.6 |
-23.9 |
-22.4 |
-21.0 |
-19.9 |
-18.9 |
-18.0 |
-17.2 |
-16.6 |
-16.1 |
-15.6 |
-15.2 |
-14.9 |
-14.7 |
-14.5 |
-14.3 |
-14.2 |
-14.2 |
-14.1 |
-14.1 |
-14.2 |
-14.2 |
-14.3 |
-14.4 |
-14.5 |
-14.6 |
-14.8 |
-15.0 |
Investment |
fI |
1311.4 |
2836.1 |
4033.7 |
4812.8 |
5317.9 |
5598.9 |
5700.3 |
5658.3 |
5511.0 |
5294.1 |
5039.3 |
4773.0 |
4516.0 |
4283.2 |
4084.8 |
3925.9 |
3808.7 |
3732.4 |
3694.1 |
3689.5 |
3713.7 |
3761.7 |
3828.2 |
3908.9 |
3999.6 |
4096.6 |
4197.3 |
4299.3 |
4400.9 |
4500.8 |
4598.3 |
4693.1 |
4784.7 |
4873.4 |
4959.2 |
5042.5 |
Export |
fE |
2652.9 |
4403.2 |
6197.2 |
8001.4 |
9771.3 |
11467.4 |
13061.6 |
14535.6 |
15880.0 |
17092.6 |
18176.0 |
19136.6 |
19983.7 |
20727.6 |
21379.0 |
21949.5 |
22449.6 |
22889.4 |
23277.9 |
23623.5 |
23933.7 |
24214.9 |
24473.2 |
24713.6 |
24940.6 |
25158.6 |
25371.1 |
25581.4 |
25792.6 |
26007.4 |
26228.1 |
26456.9 |
26695.9 |
26946.8 |
27211.1 |
27490.1 |
Import |
fM |
397.9 |
1577.4 |
2497.4 |
3179.7 |
3687.8 |
4061.1 |
4329.4 |
4516.1 |
4643.2 |
4729.8 |
4792.1 |
4842.9 |
4891.7 |
4945.3 |
5007.8 |
5081.3 |
5166.2 |
5262.3 |
5367.7 |
5480.6 |
5598.8 |
5720.3 |
5843.2 |
5965.7 |
6086.5 |
6204.6 |
6319.3 |
6430.2 |
6537.2 |
6640.3 |
6739.7 |
6836.0 |
6929.4 |
7020.6 |
7110.1 |
7198.6 |
GDP |
fY |
4075.8 |
7340.2 |
10201.5 |
12629.5 |
14637.7 |
16251.8 |
17514.1 |
18472.0 |
19177.6 |
19682.4 |
20034.8 |
20277.4 |
20446.8 |
20572.6 |
20677.8 |
20779.5 |
20889.6 |
21015.9 |
21162.3 |
21330.1 |
21519.1 |
21727.5 |
21953.3 |
22194.0 |
22447.2 |
22710.8 |
22983.3 |
23263.1 |
23549.6 |
23842.2 |
24140.6 |
24445.0 |
24755.8 |
25073.5 |
25398.5 |
25731.4 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-19.925 |
-17.034 |
-13.775 |
-10.574 |
-7.663 |
-5.140 |
-3.042 |
-1.364 |
-0.072 |
0.880 |
1.547 |
1.981 |
2.235 |
2.353 |
2.374 |
2.327 |
2.239 |
2.125 |
2.000 |
1.871 |
1.743 |
1.620 |
1.502 |
1.388 |
1.280 |
1.175 |
1.074 |
0.975 |
0.878 |
0.783 |
0.691 |
0.601 |
0.514 |
0.431 |
0.352 |
0.278 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
10.771 |
8.464 |
6.798 |
5.197 |
3.744 |
2.490 |
1.451 |
0.622 |
-0.013 |
-0.479 |
-0.803 |
-1.013 |
-1.134 |
-1.188 |
-1.194 |
-1.169 |
-1.122 |
-1.065 |
-1.001 |
-0.936 |
-0.872 |
-0.810 |
-0.751 |
-0.694 |
-0.640 |
-0.587 |
-0.536 |
-0.486 |
-0.438 |
-0.390 |
-0.344 |
-0.299 |
-0.255 |
-0.214 |
-0.174 |
-0.137 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.116 |
-0.081 |
0.037 |
0.147 |
0.236 |
0.309 |
0.366 |
0.408 |
0.438 |
0.458 |
0.471 |
0.478 |
0.481 |
0.483 |
0.484 |
0.485 |
0.486 |
0.489 |
0.493 |
0.498 |
0.504 |
0.511 |
0.519 |
0.528 |
0.537 |
0.547 |
0.557 |
0.567 |
0.577 |
0.588 |
0.598 |
0.609 |
0.619 |
0.629 |
0.640 |
0.650 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.107 |
0.049 |
-0.070 |
-0.164 |
-0.226 |
-0.263 |
-0.278 |
-0.276 |
-0.260 |
-0.235 |
-0.205 |
-0.172 |
-0.139 |
-0.107 |
-0.079 |
-0.054 |
-0.033 |
-0.015 |
-0.002 |
0.009 |
0.016 |
0.021 |
0.023 |
0.024 |
0.024 |
0.023 |
0.021 |
0.019 |
0.016 |
0.014 |
0.011 |
0.009 |
0.007 |
0.005 |
0.003 |
0.001 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.009 |
-0.032 |
-0.033 |
-0.018 |
0.010 |
0.046 |
0.087 |
0.132 |
0.178 |
0.223 |
0.266 |
0.306 |
0.342 |
0.375 |
0.405 |
0.431 |
0.454 |
0.473 |
0.491 |
0.506 |
0.519 |
0.531 |
0.542 |
0.552 |
0.561 |
0.570 |
0.578 |
0.586 |
0.594 |
0.602 |
0.610 |
0.617 |
0.626 |
0.634 |
0.642 |
0.651 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.320 |
0.384 |
0.401 |
0.419 |
0.454 |
0.517 |
0.616 |
0.752 |
0.926 |
1.137 |
1.382 |
1.656 |
1.956 |
2.277 |
2.614 |
2.964 |
3.323 |
3.688 |
4.056 |
4.426 |
4.795 |
5.163 |
5.528 |
5.890 |
6.248 |
6.603 |
6.953 |
7.300 |
7.643 |
7.982 |
8.318 |
8.650 |
8.980 |
9.308 |
9.632 |
9.955 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.257 |
0.332 |
0.292 |
0.157 |
-0.055 |
-0.326 |
-0.640 |
-0.983 |
-1.343 |
-1.709 |
-2.076 |
-2.438 |
-2.791 |
-3.135 |
-3.469 |
-3.792 |
-4.107 |
-4.413 |
-4.713 |
-5.007 |
-5.297 |
-5.583 |
-5.866 |
-6.147 |
-6.427 |
-6.705 |
-6.983 |
-7.259 |
-7.535 |
-7.810 |
-8.085 |
-8.359 |
-8.632 |
-8.905 |
-9.177 |
-9.449 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.196 |
-0.341 |
-0.444 |
-0.517 |
-0.563 |
-0.588 |
-0.597 |
-0.594 |
-0.583 |
-0.567 |
-0.550 |
-0.533 |
-0.517 |
-0.503 |
-0.492 |
-0.483 |
-0.477 |
-0.473 |
-0.471 |
-0.469 |
-0.469 |
-0.469 |
-0.469 |
-0.470 |
-0.470 |
-0.469 |
-0.468 |
-0.467 |
-0.466 |
-0.464 |
-0.461 |
-0.459 |
-0.456 |
-0.453 |
-0.450 |
-0.448 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.943 |
-1.017 |
-1.051 |
-1.064 |
-1.063 |
-1.055 |
-1.043 |
-1.029 |
-1.014 |
-1.001 |
-0.989 |
-0.979 |
-0.970 |
-0.964 |
-0.959 |
-0.955 |
-0.952 |
-0.951 |
-0.950 |
-0.949 |
-0.949 |
-0.949 |
-0.949 |
-0.949 |
-0.950 |
-0.950 |
-0.950 |
-0.950 |
-0.951 |
-0.951 |
-0.951 |
-0.952 |
-0.952 |
-0.952 |
-0.953 |
-0.953 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.461 |
-0.602 |
-0.722 |
-0.825 |
-0.910 |
-0.977 |
-1.030 |
-1.069 |
-1.098 |
-1.117 |
-1.129 |
-1.135 |
-1.137 |
-1.136 |
-1.133 |
-1.128 |
-1.121 |
-1.114 |
-1.107 |
-1.099 |
-1.092 |
-1.084 |
-1.076 |
-1.069 |
-1.062 |
-1.055 |
-1.048 |
-1.042 |
-1.036 |
-1.031 |
-1.026 |
-1.022 |
-1.017 |
-1.014 |
-1.011 |
-1.008 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.380 |
-0.732 |
-1.005 |
-1.222 |
-1.386 |
-1.503 |
-1.581 |
-1.626 |
-1.645 |
-1.645 |
-1.631 |
-1.606 |
-1.576 |
-1.542 |
-1.506 |
-1.469 |
-1.434 |
-1.399 |
-1.367 |
-1.336 |
-1.307 |
-1.280 |
-1.254 |
-1.231 |
-1.209 |
-1.189 |
-1.170 |
-1.153 |
-1.138 |
-1.125 |
-1.113 |
-1.102 |
-1.093 |
-1.086 |
-1.080 |
-1.075 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.437 |
-0.597 |
-0.722 |
-0.830 |
-0.922 |
-0.997 |
-1.058 |
-1.105 |
-1.142 |
-1.169 |
-1.189 |
-1.203 |
-1.213 |
-1.219 |
-1.222 |
-1.223 |
-1.222 |
-1.220 |
-1.217 |
-1.213 |
-1.209 |
-1.204 |
-1.198 |
-1.192 |
-1.186 |
-1.180 |
-1.174 |
-1.168 |
-1.162 |
-1.157 |
-1.151 |
-1.146 |
-1.142 |
-1.137 |
-1.134 |
-1.130 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.298 |
-0.395 |
-0.474 |
-0.540 |
-0.594 |
-0.636 |
-0.668 |
-0.691 |
-0.707 |
-0.716 |
-0.721 |
-0.722 |
-0.720 |
-0.717 |
-0.711 |
-0.705 |
-0.698 |
-0.691 |
-0.684 |
-0.677 |
-0.670 |
-0.663 |
-0.656 |
-0.650 |
-0.644 |
-0.638 |
-0.633 |
-0.628 |
-0.623 |
-0.619 |
-0.615 |
-0.612 |
-0.609 |
-0.606 |
-0.604 |
-0.602 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.133 |
-0.120 |
-0.044 |
0.019 |
0.060 |
0.081 |
0.088 |
0.082 |
0.066 |
0.044 |
0.019 |
-0.008 |
-0.035 |
-0.061 |
-0.085 |
-0.107 |
-0.125 |
-0.140 |
-0.153 |
-0.163 |
-0.170 |
-0.175 |
-0.179 |
-0.181 |
-0.182 |
-0.182 |
-0.181 |
-0.180 |
-0.178 |
-0.176 |
-0.173 |
-0.171 |
-0.169 |
-0.166 |
-0.164 |
-0.162 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.350 |
-0.470 |
-0.533 |
-0.565 |
-0.575 |
-0.569 |
-0.553 |
-0.532 |
-0.506 |
-0.480 |
-0.454 |
-0.429 |
-0.405 |
-0.384 |
-0.365 |
-0.348 |
-0.333 |
-0.320 |
-0.308 |
-0.298 |
-0.289 |
-0.281 |
-0.274 |
-0.267 |
-0.262 |
-0.257 |
-0.253 |
-0.249 |
-0.246 |
-0.244 |
-0.242 |
-0.240 |
-0.239 |
-0.239 |
-0.238 |
-0.238 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|