|
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
777.0 |
1463.1 |
3184.4 |
4220.1 |
4828.0 |
5115.3 |
5147.2 |
4989.5 |
4700.1 |
4326.7 |
3907.9 |
3474.0 |
3047.8 |
2646.0 |
2279.7 |
1955.7 |
1677.3 |
1445.3 |
1258.2 |
1113.1 |
1006.7 |
934.7 |
893.3 |
878.2 |
885.6 |
911.8 |
953.6 |
1008.3 |
1073.1 |
1145.9 |
1224.7 |
1307.8 |
1393.6 |
1481.0 |
1568.7 |
1655.8 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-55.7 |
-56.8 |
-56.5 |
-55.6 |
-54.5 |
-53.2 |
-51.9 |
-50.7 |
-49.6 |
-48.6 |
-47.7 |
-47.0 |
-46.3 |
-45.8 |
-45.5 |
-45.2 |
-45.0 |
-44.9 |
-44.9 |
-45.0 |
-45.2 |
-45.4 |
-45.6 |
-46.0 |
-46.3 |
-46.7 |
-47.2 |
-47.7 |
-48.2 |
-48.8 |
-49.4 |
-50.0 |
-50.7 |
-51.4 |
-52.1 |
-52.8 |
Investment |
fI |
631.8 |
1578.7 |
3016.1 |
4213.1 |
4959.9 |
5413.6 |
5652.5 |
5716.3 |
5644.0 |
5474.5 |
5244.1 |
4983.9 |
4719.0 |
4468.7 |
4246.1 |
4059.8 |
3913.9 |
3809.3 |
3744.4 |
3715.8 |
3719.1 |
3749.5 |
3802.0 |
3871.8 |
3954.7 |
4046.8 |
4145.0 |
4246.9 |
4350.3 |
4453.6 |
4555.8 |
4656.4 |
4754.8 |
4850.9 |
4944.7 |
5036.2 |
Export |
fE |
660.6 |
1780.7 |
3104.0 |
4511.7 |
6007.4 |
7540.1 |
9065.1 |
10550.4 |
11973.8 |
13321.5 |
14585.7 |
15763.0 |
16853.6 |
17860.2 |
18786.8 |
19638.3 |
20419.5 |
21135.9 |
21792.5 |
22394.1 |
22945.3 |
23450.4 |
23913.3 |
24338.2 |
24728.6 |
25088.4 |
25421.5 |
25731.4 |
26021.7 |
26296.1 |
26558.2 |
26811.5 |
27059.4 |
27305.1 |
27551.8 |
27802.4 |
Import |
fM |
459.3 |
995.6 |
2179.9 |
3012.5 |
3547.6 |
3916.6 |
4167.2 |
4328.4 |
4425.4 |
4480.3 |
4511.9 |
4535.1 |
4560.9 |
4597.0 |
4648.3 |
4717.1 |
4803.6 |
4907.1 |
5025.4 |
5155.9 |
5295.7 |
5442.0 |
5592.0 |
5743.4 |
5893.9 |
6042.0 |
6186.3 |
6326.1 |
6460.6 |
6589.6 |
6713.0 |
6831.2 |
6944.3 |
7053.0 |
7157.6 |
7258.9 |
GDP |
fY |
1547.6 |
3730.5 |
6959.5 |
9705.8 |
11956.7 |
13799.7 |
15285.6 |
16459.8 |
17372.6 |
18074.6 |
18613.8 |
19033.3 |
19369.9 |
19653.9 |
19908.8 |
20151.8 |
20394.8 |
20645.5 |
20907.7 |
21182.5 |
21469.4 |
21766.4 |
22071.1 |
22381.0 |
22693.6 |
23007.0 |
23319.7 |
23630.8 |
23939.8 |
24246.8 |
24552.1 |
24856.8 |
25161.8 |
25468.5 |
25778.1 |
26092.0 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-25.065 |
-22.660 |
-19.281 |
-15.894 |
-12.771 |
-9.997 |
-7.614 |
-5.628 |
-4.017 |
-2.741 |
-1.752 |
-0.999 |
-0.435 |
-0.017 |
0.292 |
0.522 |
0.696 |
0.830 |
0.936 |
1.021 |
1.091 |
1.147 |
1.190 |
1.221 |
1.238 |
1.241 |
1.230 |
1.205 |
1.167 |
1.117 |
1.055 |
0.985 |
0.906 |
0.822 |
0.735 |
0.645 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
13.550 |
11.314 |
9.562 |
7.865 |
6.304 |
4.923 |
3.739 |
2.755 |
1.959 |
1.330 |
0.844 |
0.474 |
0.198 |
-0.007 |
-0.159 |
-0.271 |
-0.356 |
-0.422 |
-0.475 |
-0.517 |
-0.551 |
-0.579 |
-0.600 |
-0.615 |
-0.623 |
-0.624 |
-0.618 |
-0.605 |
-0.585 |
-0.560 |
-0.528 |
-0.493 |
-0.453 |
-0.410 |
-0.366 |
-0.321 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.129 |
-0.103 |
-0.177 |
-0.046 |
0.066 |
0.153 |
0.224 |
0.278 |
0.319 |
0.348 |
0.368 |
0.382 |
0.392 |
0.398 |
0.403 |
0.408 |
0.412 |
0.418 |
0.424 |
0.431 |
0.439 |
0.448 |
0.458 |
0.468 |
0.478 |
0.489 |
0.500 |
0.510 |
0.521 |
0.531 |
0.542 |
0.552 |
0.562 |
0.572 |
0.582 |
0.592 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.108 |
0.064 |
0.094 |
-0.053 |
-0.158 |
-0.224 |
-0.263 |
-0.280 |
-0.279 |
-0.264 |
-0.241 |
-0.212 |
-0.180 |
-0.149 |
-0.119 |
-0.091 |
-0.067 |
-0.046 |
-0.028 |
-0.014 |
-0.003 |
0.005 |
0.011 |
0.015 |
0.017 |
0.019 |
0.019 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
0.009 |
0.007 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.021 |
-0.039 |
-0.084 |
-0.099 |
-0.092 |
-0.071 |
-0.040 |
-0.002 |
0.040 |
0.084 |
0.127 |
0.170 |
0.211 |
0.249 |
0.284 |
0.317 |
0.346 |
0.372 |
0.396 |
0.417 |
0.436 |
0.453 |
0.468 |
0.483 |
0.495 |
0.507 |
0.518 |
0.529 |
0.539 |
0.548 |
0.557 |
0.566 |
0.574 |
0.583 |
0.591 |
0.599 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.049 |
0.119 |
0.094 |
0.034 |
-0.016 |
-0.044 |
-0.042 |
-0.004 |
0.072 |
0.189 |
0.343 |
0.532 |
0.753 |
1.003 |
1.276 |
1.569 |
1.878 |
2.200 |
2.532 |
2.871 |
3.215 |
3.562 |
3.911 |
4.260 |
4.610 |
4.958 |
5.304 |
5.649 |
5.991 |
6.331 |
6.668 |
7.003 |
7.334 |
7.663 |
7.990 |
8.314 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.130 |
0.244 |
0.400 |
0.431 |
0.365 |
0.223 |
0.024 |
-0.218 |
-0.489 |
-0.778 |
-1.077 |
-1.379 |
-1.681 |
-1.979 |
-2.274 |
-2.563 |
-2.848 |
-3.129 |
-3.408 |
-3.684 |
-3.958 |
-4.232 |
-4.506 |
-4.780 |
-5.054 |
-5.328 |
-5.603 |
-5.877 |
-6.152 |
-6.427 |
-6.701 |
-6.974 |
-7.247 |
-7.520 |
-7.791 |
-8.062 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.070 |
-0.166 |
-0.290 |
-0.380 |
-0.437 |
-0.471 |
-0.487 |
-0.490 |
-0.484 |
-0.474 |
-0.462 |
-0.450 |
-0.439 |
-0.431 |
-0.425 |
-0.423 |
-0.422 |
-0.425 |
-0.428 |
-0.433 |
-0.439 |
-0.445 |
-0.451 |
-0.456 |
-0.461 |
-0.464 |
-0.467 |
-0.469 |
-0.470 |
-0.471 |
-0.470 |
-0.469 |
-0.467 |
-0.465 |
-0.463 |
-0.460 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.027 |
-0.052 |
-0.087 |
-0.102 |
-0.102 |
-0.094 |
-0.081 |
-0.065 |
-0.050 |
-0.035 |
-0.022 |
-0.010 |
-0.001 |
0.007 |
0.014 |
0.019 |
0.022 |
0.025 |
0.028 |
0.029 |
0.031 |
0.032 |
0.033 |
0.034 |
0.035 |
0.035 |
0.036 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.039 |
0.039 |
0.039 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.118 |
-0.272 |
-0.415 |
-0.531 |
-0.634 |
-0.722 |
-0.795 |
-0.856 |
-0.906 |
-0.946 |
-0.978 |
-1.003 |
-1.023 |
-1.039 |
-1.051 |
-1.060 |
-1.067 |
-1.071 |
-1.074 |
-1.075 |
-1.075 |
-1.074 |
-1.071 |
-1.068 |
-1.064 |
-1.059 |
-1.054 |
-1.048 |
-1.042 |
-1.036 |
-1.030 |
-1.024 |
-1.018 |
-1.013 |
-1.007 |
-1.002 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.268 |
-0.741 |
-1.134 |
-1.434 |
-1.680 |
-1.878 |
-2.032 |
-2.150 |
-2.237 |
-2.300 |
-2.344 |
-2.373 |
-2.391 |
-2.400 |
-2.403 |
-2.400 |
-2.394 |
-2.384 |
-2.373 |
-2.359 |
-2.343 |
-2.326 |
-2.308 |
-2.289 |
-2.269 |
-2.249 |
-2.228 |
-2.208 |
-2.188 |
-2.169 |
-2.150 |
-2.133 |
-2.116 |
-2.101 |
-2.088 |
-2.076 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.111 |
-0.263 |
-0.407 |
-0.526 |
-0.631 |
-0.723 |
-0.801 |
-0.868 |
-0.924 |
-0.971 |
-1.011 |
-1.044 |
-1.072 |
-1.096 |
-1.116 |
-1.134 |
-1.148 |
-1.160 |
-1.169 |
-1.177 |
-1.182 |
-1.186 |
-1.188 |
-1.189 |
-1.188 |
-1.186 |
-1.183 |
-1.179 |
-1.175 |
-1.170 |
-1.164 |
-1.159 |
-1.153 |
-1.147 |
-1.142 |
-1.136 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.075 |
-0.176 |
-0.269 |
-0.345 |
-0.411 |
-0.468 |
-0.515 |
-0.553 |
-0.585 |
-0.610 |
-0.629 |
-0.644 |
-0.656 |
-0.664 |
-0.670 |
-0.674 |
-0.676 |
-0.677 |
-0.677 |
-0.676 |
-0.673 |
-0.671 |
-0.667 |
-0.663 |
-0.659 |
-0.654 |
-0.649 |
-0.644 |
-0.639 |
-0.633 |
-0.628 |
-0.623 |
-0.619 |
-0.614 |
-0.610 |
-0.607 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.112 |
-0.093 |
-0.145 |
-0.041 |
0.035 |
0.082 |
0.108 |
0.118 |
0.114 |
0.101 |
0.080 |
0.056 |
0.029 |
0.002 |
-0.024 |
-0.049 |
-0.071 |
-0.091 |
-0.109 |
-0.124 |
-0.136 |
-0.146 |
-0.154 |
-0.161 |
-0.166 |
-0.169 |
-0.172 |
-0.174 |
-0.174 |
-0.175 |
-0.174 |
-0.174 |
-0.172 |
-0.171 |
-0.170 |
-0.168 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.093 |
-0.234 |
-0.349 |
-0.418 |
-0.458 |
-0.480 |
-0.488 |
-0.486 |
-0.479 |
-0.468 |
-0.455 |
-0.441 |
-0.428 |
-0.414 |
-0.401 |
-0.389 |
-0.377 |
-0.366 |
-0.356 |
-0.345 |
-0.335 |
-0.326 |
-0.317 |
-0.308 |
-0.299 |
-0.291 |
-0.283 |
-0.276 |
-0.270 |
-0.264 |
-0.259 |
-0.254 |
-0.250 |
-0.246 |
-0.244 |
-0.241 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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