|
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-1466.8 |
13186.8 |
21612.0 |
26109.1 |
28307.1 |
29006.2 |
28794.6 |
28086.1 |
27174.9 |
26261.7 |
25472.9 |
24877.9 |
24503.7 |
24346.7 |
24384.3 |
24582.7 |
24903.4 |
25301.4 |
25744.7 |
26204.7 |
26658.9 |
27091.3 |
27491.8 |
27855.2 |
28182.0 |
28474.6 |
28739.2 |
28983.5 |
29216.5 |
29447.4 |
29685.6 |
29940.2 |
30219.9 |
30532.4 |
30884.4 |
31282.0 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
0.0 |
0.0 |
-0.4 |
-1.3 |
-3.0 |
-5.2 |
-7.9 |
-10.9 |
-14.2 |
-17.7 |
-21.1 |
-24.4 |
-27.6 |
-30.6 |
-33.5 |
-36.1 |
-38.6 |
-40.8 |
-42.9 |
-44.8 |
-46.6 |
-48.3 |
-49.8 |
-51.3 |
-52.6 |
-54.0 |
-55.2 |
-56.4 |
-57.6 |
-58.7 |
-59.8 |
-60.9 |
-62.0 |
-63.0 |
-64.1 |
-65.1 |
Investment |
fI |
10917.1 |
24015.5 |
31125.8 |
33825.8 |
34309.2 |
33382.4 |
31520.1 |
29070.4 |
26343.7 |
23594.0 |
21011.8 |
18723.3 |
16799.4 |
15266.2 |
14116.4 |
13317.8 |
12826.3 |
12586.6 |
12547.4 |
12659.1 |
12879.4 |
13169.6 |
13501.5 |
13852.4 |
14204.6 |
14549.3 |
14880.0 |
15194.3 |
15491.1 |
15773.4 |
16045.9 |
16312.0 |
16575.7 |
16842.1 |
17114.3 |
17396.1 |
Export |
fE |
3102.5 |
5021.1 |
6438.2 |
7246.4 |
7427.8 |
6957.2 |
5876.4 |
4276.3 |
2277.2 |
10.2 |
-2397.1 |
-4828.0 |
-7182.9 |
-9381.4 |
-11363.4 |
-13087.8 |
-14530.8 |
-15683.3 |
-16548.5 |
-17139.8 |
-17477.6 |
-17587.7 |
-17498.7 |
-17241.6 |
-16847.0 |
-16345.3 |
-15765.3 |
-15133.8 |
-14475.1 |
-13810.9 |
-13160.6 |
-12540.7 |
-11964.9 |
-11444.8 |
-10989.6 |
-10606.4 |
Import |
fM |
4031.0 |
15236.7 |
20366.7 |
22282.2 |
22798.7 |
22413.6 |
21443.8 |
20111.0 |
18601.4 |
17061.3 |
15596.8 |
14276.9 |
13140.8 |
12203.8 |
11464.3 |
10909.0 |
10518.1 |
10264.5 |
10127.0 |
10084.2 |
10117.6 |
10210.8 |
10351.3 |
10528.7 |
10735.5 |
10966.4 |
11217.6 |
11486.8 |
11771.9 |
12072.1 |
12387.4 |
12717.2 |
13061.1 |
13419.3 |
13791.1 |
14176.1 |
GDP |
fY |
8384.3 |
26809.0 |
38552.0 |
44583.8 |
46904.6 |
46597.5 |
44449.5 |
41087.5 |
37044.1 |
32751.5 |
28541.8 |
24651.7 |
21234.7 |
18374.3 |
16099.7 |
14398.0 |
13229.7 |
12531.1 |
12238.0 |
12281.5 |
12596.3 |
13119.7 |
13799.0 |
14587.0 |
15444.5 |
16341.2 |
17252.7 |
18160.7 |
19051.2 |
19915.9 |
20750.4 |
21551.4 |
22318.3 |
23052.6 |
23755.6 |
24430.4 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
3.242 |
16.998 |
28.865 |
37.009 |
41.522 |
42.860 |
41.576 |
38.290 |
33.624 |
28.156 |
22.374 |
16.670 |
11.331 |
6.550 |
2.438 |
-0.960 |
-3.649 |
-5.671 |
-7.090 |
-7.984 |
-8.433 |
-8.518 |
-8.315 |
-7.893 |
-7.312 |
-6.625 |
-5.873 |
-5.091 |
-4.307 |
-3.540 |
-2.807 |
-2.117 |
-1.478 |
-0.893 |
-0.364 |
0.109 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-1.752 |
-9.068 |
-14.967 |
-18.919 |
-21.052 |
-21.604 |
-20.860 |
-19.131 |
-16.733 |
-13.952 |
-11.033 |
-8.168 |
-5.497 |
-3.113 |
-1.070 |
0.611 |
1.936 |
2.928 |
3.619 |
4.049 |
4.258 |
4.287 |
4.174 |
3.953 |
3.655 |
3.306 |
2.925 |
2.531 |
2.136 |
1.751 |
1.384 |
1.039 |
0.719 |
0.427 |
0.163 |
-0.072 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.392 |
-0.789 |
-0.150 |
0.209 |
0.385 |
0.423 |
0.358 |
0.217 |
0.029 |
-0.185 |
-0.404 |
-0.616 |
-0.810 |
-0.980 |
-1.124 |
-1.242 |
-1.335 |
-1.406 |
-1.458 |
-1.495 |
-1.519 |
-1.534 |
-1.542 |
-1.546 |
-1.546 |
-1.546 |
-1.545 |
-1.545 |
-1.546 |
-1.548 |
-1.551 |
-1.556 |
-1.563 |
-1.571 |
-1.580 |
-1.591 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.056 |
-0.660 |
-1.554 |
-2.038 |
-2.263 |
-2.302 |
-2.215 |
-2.046 |
-1.833 |
-1.604 |
-1.382 |
-1.181 |
-1.009 |
-0.872 |
-0.767 |
-0.693 |
-0.645 |
-0.619 |
-0.609 |
-0.611 |
-0.621 |
-0.635 |
-0.651 |
-0.667 |
-0.681 |
-0.693 |
-0.701 |
-0.707 |
-0.710 |
-0.709 |
-0.707 |
-0.703 |
-0.697 |
-0.691 |
-0.683 |
-0.676 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.449 |
-1.450 |
-1.704 |
-1.829 |
-1.877 |
-1.878 |
-1.857 |
-1.829 |
-1.804 |
-1.788 |
-1.786 |
-1.796 |
-1.819 |
-1.851 |
-1.891 |
-1.934 |
-1.980 |
-2.024 |
-2.067 |
-2.105 |
-2.139 |
-2.169 |
-2.193 |
-2.212 |
-2.227 |
-2.238 |
-2.246 |
-2.252 |
-2.255 |
-2.257 |
-2.258 |
-2.259 |
-2.260 |
-2.261 |
-2.263 |
-2.267 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-1.249 |
-3.216 |
-4.999 |
-6.719 |
-8.375 |
-9.951 |
-11.432 |
-12.814 |
-14.105 |
-15.322 |
-16.481 |
-17.600 |
-18.696 |
-19.782 |
-20.868 |
-21.960 |
-23.062 |
-24.174 |
-25.294 |
-26.420 |
-27.548 |
-28.673 |
-29.790 |
-30.896 |
-31.986 |
-33.057 |
-34.106 |
-35.131 |
-36.131 |
-37.104 |
-38.050 |
-38.970 |
-39.865 |
-40.734 |
-41.579 |
-42.403 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
3.601 |
3.716 |
3.310 |
2.674 |
1.947 |
1.246 |
0.658 |
0.241 |
0.031 |
0.040 |
0.263 |
0.684 |
1.278 |
2.018 |
2.873 |
3.815 |
4.818 |
5.860 |
6.920 |
7.984 |
9.040 |
10.078 |
11.092 |
12.078 |
13.033 |
13.958 |
14.851 |
15.714 |
16.549 |
17.356 |
18.138 |
18.896 |
19.633 |
20.350 |
21.049 |
21.731 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.309 |
-0.878 |
-1.056 |
-0.934 |
-0.638 |
-0.245 |
0.194 |
0.643 |
1.074 |
1.468 |
1.813 |
2.102 |
2.336 |
2.517 |
2.649 |
2.741 |
2.797 |
2.825 |
2.832 |
2.821 |
2.799 |
2.769 |
2.734 |
2.695 |
2.656 |
2.616 |
2.578 |
2.541 |
2.506 |
2.472 |
2.441 |
2.412 |
2.385 |
2.361 |
2.338 |
2.317 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.342 |
-0.732 |
-0.888 |
-0.896 |
-0.841 |
-0.766 |
-0.690 |
-0.624 |
-0.575 |
-0.542 |
-0.526 |
-0.525 |
-0.535 |
-0.554 |
-0.578 |
-0.605 |
-0.632 |
-0.659 |
-0.683 |
-0.704 |
-0.722 |
-0.737 |
-0.748 |
-0.756 |
-0.762 |
-0.765 |
-0.767 |
-0.767 |
-0.765 |
-0.763 |
-0.761 |
-0.757 |
-0.754 |
-0.750 |
-0.747 |
-0.744 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.788 |
-5.983 |
-6.087 |
-6.095 |
-6.027 |
-5.906 |
-5.752 |
-5.583 |
-5.414 |
-5.254 |
-5.112 |
-4.993 |
-4.897 |
-4.827 |
-4.780 |
-4.754 |
-4.748 |
-4.758 |
-4.780 |
-4.813 |
-4.852 |
-4.897 |
-4.944 |
-4.992 |
-5.039 |
-5.085 |
-5.128 |
-5.168 |
-5.204 |
-5.237 |
-5.265 |
-5.289 |
-5.309 |
-5.326 |
-5.339 |
-5.348 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.033 |
0.025 |
0.346 |
0.864 |
1.505 |
2.213 |
2.933 |
3.624 |
4.253 |
4.798 |
5.246 |
5.593 |
5.842 |
6.000 |
6.076 |
6.085 |
6.037 |
5.946 |
5.823 |
5.679 |
5.523 |
5.362 |
5.202 |
5.047 |
4.902 |
4.769 |
4.648 |
4.542 |
4.451 |
4.374 |
4.310 |
4.260 |
4.223 |
4.197 |
4.181 |
4.175 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.083 |
-0.505 |
-0.802 |
-0.962 |
-1.015 |
-0.986 |
-0.901 |
-0.784 |
-0.653 |
-0.524 |
-0.408 |
-0.310 |
-0.235 |
-0.184 |
-0.156 |
-0.149 |
-0.161 |
-0.189 |
-0.230 |
-0.281 |
-0.339 |
-0.401 |
-0.466 |
-0.531 |
-0.595 |
-0.657 |
-0.715 |
-0.770 |
-0.821 |
-0.867 |
-0.907 |
-0.943 |
-0.974 |
-1.000 |
-1.022 |
-1.039 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.103 |
-0.220 |
-0.259 |
-0.231 |
-0.154 |
-0.045 |
0.083 |
0.218 |
0.350 |
0.472 |
0.579 |
0.668 |
0.737 |
0.787 |
0.819 |
0.835 |
0.836 |
0.826 |
0.807 |
0.780 |
0.748 |
0.713 |
0.677 |
0.640 |
0.604 |
0.570 |
0.538 |
0.508 |
0.482 |
0.459 |
0.439 |
0.422 |
0.408 |
0.397 |
0.390 |
0.384 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.542 |
-0.358 |
0.274 |
0.650 |
0.849 |
0.916 |
0.893 |
0.813 |
0.703 |
0.583 |
0.466 |
0.362 |
0.275 |
0.208 |
0.159 |
0.128 |
0.112 |
0.106 |
0.108 |
0.116 |
0.127 |
0.138 |
0.149 |
0.159 |
0.165 |
0.170 |
0.171 |
0.170 |
0.166 |
0.160 |
0.152 |
0.143 |
0.133 |
0.123 |
0.112 |
0.102 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.129 |
-0.075 |
0.187 |
0.552 |
0.936 |
1.297 |
1.612 |
1.872 |
2.072 |
2.217 |
2.310 |
2.359 |
2.373 |
2.358 |
2.323 |
2.274 |
2.216 |
2.154 |
2.092 |
2.032 |
1.977 |
1.926 |
1.882 |
1.844 |
1.812 |
1.787 |
1.767 |
1.753 |
1.743 |
1.738 |
1.736 |
1.737 |
1.741 |
1.748 |
1.756 |
1.765 |
|
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