|
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
245.4 |
-576.1 |
122.5 |
531.2 |
840.9 |
1088.1 |
1268.4 |
1388.2 |
1455.2 |
1476.8 |
1460.3 |
1412.7 |
1340.6 |
1250.3 |
1147.2 |
1036.0 |
920.7 |
804.7 |
690.9 |
581.4 |
478.0 |
381.8 |
293.8 |
214.4 |
144.0 |
82.7 |
30.3 |
-13.5 |
-49.0 |
-76.6 |
-96.8 |
-110.2 |
-117.3 |
-118.8 |
-115.2 |
-107.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
0.0 |
-0.2 |
-1.7 |
-3.0 |
-4.1 |
-5.0 |
-5.7 |
-6.4 |
-6.9 |
-7.3 |
-7.6 |
-7.9 |
-8.2 |
-8.4 |
-8.6 |
-8.7 |
-8.9 |
-9.1 |
-9.2 |
-9.3 |
-9.5 |
-9.6 |
-9.8 |
-9.9 |
-10.0 |
-10.2 |
-10.3 |
-10.5 |
-10.6 |
-10.8 |
-11.0 |
-11.1 |
-11.3 |
-11.5 |
-11.6 |
-11.8 |
Investment |
fI |
-614.8 |
-1321.5 |
-1203.2 |
-804.0 |
-537.9 |
-327.9 |
-148.8 |
-1.2 |
112.7 |
193.8 |
245.2 |
271.1 |
276.2 |
265.6 |
243.6 |
213.9 |
180.1 |
144.7 |
110.0 |
77.5 |
48.4 |
23.2 |
2.1 |
-14.7 |
-27.3 |
-35.9 |
-41.1 |
-43.2 |
-42.7 |
-39.9 |
-35.3 |
-29.1 |
-21.9 |
-13.7 |
-5.1 |
4.0 |
Export |
fE |
-1938.0 |
-2591.6 |
-3082.8 |
-3493.6 |
-3779.7 |
-3951.4 |
-4025.0 |
-4015.1 |
-3935.4 |
-3798.6 |
-3616.1 |
-3398.2 |
-3154.0 |
-2891.7 |
-2618.3 |
-2339.9 |
-2061.8 |
-1788.5 |
-1523.7 |
-1270.7 |
-1032.1 |
-809.8 |
-605.5 |
-420.3 |
-255.0 |
-109.9 |
14.8 |
119.4 |
204.7 |
271.2 |
320.0 |
352.2 |
369.0 |
371.8 |
362.1 |
341.2 |
Import |
fM |
114.9 |
-682.6 |
-485.2 |
-327.9 |
-270.2 |
-238.6 |
-220.2 |
-212.1 |
-212.9 |
-220.9 |
-233.7 |
-249.3 |
-265.5 |
-280.4 |
-292.5 |
-300.9 |
-304.8 |
-303.9 |
-298.1 |
-287.6 |
-272.8 |
-254.2 |
-232.5 |
-208.4 |
-182.5 |
-155.4 |
-127.8 |
-100.3 |
-73.4 |
-47.6 |
-23.1 |
-0.3 |
20.6 |
39.4 |
56.2 |
70.7 |
GDP |
fY |
-2364.4 |
-3716.6 |
-3520.5 |
-3248.1 |
-2990.4 |
-2718.3 |
-2437.8 |
-2159.9 |
-1893.2 |
-1642.9 |
-1411.9 |
-1200.9 |
-1009.1 |
-835.3 |
-677.9 |
-535.2 |
-405.6 |
-287.7 |
-180.3 |
-82.5 |
6.4 |
86.8 |
158.7 |
222.6 |
278.5 |
326.5 |
366.6 |
399.0 |
424.1 |
442.2 |
453.6 |
458.8 |
458.4 |
453.0 |
443.2 |
429.6 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-2.688 |
-4.384 |
-4.920 |
-5.096 |
-5.089 |
-4.946 |
-4.709 |
-4.410 |
-4.075 |
-3.724 |
-3.371 |
-3.024 |
-2.690 |
-2.372 |
-2.073 |
-1.792 |
-1.531 |
-1.288 |
-1.064 |
-0.858 |
-0.670 |
-0.499 |
-0.346 |
-0.208 |
-0.088 |
0.018 |
0.107 |
0.182 |
0.243 |
0.291 |
0.327 |
0.351 |
0.365 |
0.369 |
0.366 |
0.356 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
1.453 |
2.269 |
2.494 |
2.569 |
2.559 |
2.482 |
2.359 |
2.206 |
2.037 |
1.860 |
1.682 |
1.508 |
1.340 |
1.181 |
1.031 |
0.891 |
0.760 |
0.639 |
0.527 |
0.424 |
0.330 |
0.245 |
0.168 |
0.100 |
0.039 |
-0.013 |
-0.057 |
-0.095 |
-0.125 |
-0.148 |
-0.166 |
-0.177 |
-0.184 |
-0.186 |
-0.184 |
-0.178 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.019 |
-0.013 |
-0.206 |
-0.195 |
-0.177 |
-0.164 |
-0.151 |
-0.137 |
-0.124 |
-0.113 |
-0.104 |
-0.095 |
-0.088 |
-0.082 |
-0.078 |
-0.074 |
-0.070 |
-0.068 |
-0.066 |
-0.064 |
-0.062 |
-0.061 |
-0.060 |
-0.059 |
-0.058 |
-0.057 |
-0.056 |
-0.056 |
-0.056 |
-0.055 |
-0.055 |
-0.055 |
-0.056 |
-0.056 |
-0.056 |
-0.057 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.033 |
0.014 |
0.167 |
0.125 |
0.086 |
0.056 |
0.029 |
0.007 |
-0.011 |
-0.025 |
-0.034 |
-0.041 |
-0.044 |
-0.045 |
-0.044 |
-0.042 |
-0.039 |
-0.035 |
-0.031 |
-0.027 |
-0.022 |
-0.018 |
-0.015 |
-0.011 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.005 |
0.006 |
0.006 |
0.006 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.014 |
0.001 |
-0.038 |
-0.070 |
-0.092 |
-0.109 |
-0.121 |
-0.130 |
-0.135 |
-0.138 |
-0.138 |
-0.136 |
-0.132 |
-0.127 |
-0.122 |
-0.116 |
-0.109 |
-0.103 |
-0.096 |
-0.090 |
-0.084 |
-0.079 |
-0.074 |
-0.070 |
-0.066 |
-0.062 |
-0.059 |
-0.057 |
-0.055 |
-0.053 |
-0.052 |
-0.051 |
-0.050 |
-0.050 |
-0.050 |
-0.050 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.268 |
-0.253 |
-0.282 |
-0.347 |
-0.424 |
-0.510 |
-0.603 |
-0.701 |
-0.799 |
-0.896 |
-0.989 |
-1.078 |
-1.160 |
-1.235 |
-1.302 |
-1.362 |
-1.415 |
-1.461 |
-1.500 |
-1.532 |
-1.559 |
-1.581 |
-1.598 |
-1.612 |
-1.621 |
-1.628 |
-1.632 |
-1.634 |
-1.635 |
-1.634 |
-1.632 |
-1.630 |
-1.627 |
-1.625 |
-1.622 |
-1.620 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.152 |
-0.119 |
0.071 |
0.241 |
0.393 |
0.531 |
0.653 |
0.760 |
0.853 |
0.933 |
1.002 |
1.061 |
1.112 |
1.156 |
1.193 |
1.225 |
1.252 |
1.276 |
1.295 |
1.312 |
1.326 |
1.338 |
1.347 |
1.355 |
1.360 |
1.365 |
1.368 |
1.370 |
1.371 |
1.371 |
1.372 |
1.371 |
1.371 |
1.371 |
1.371 |
1.371 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.120 |
0.181 |
0.166 |
0.149 |
0.135 |
0.123 |
0.112 |
0.102 |
0.094 |
0.087 |
0.081 |
0.075 |
0.070 |
0.065 |
0.060 |
0.056 |
0.051 |
0.046 |
0.040 |
0.035 |
0.030 |
0.025 |
0.020 |
0.015 |
0.011 |
0.007 |
0.003 |
0.000 |
-0.003 |
-0.006 |
-0.008 |
-0.010 |
-0.011 |
-0.012 |
-0.012 |
-0.013 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.023 |
0.036 |
0.018 |
0.003 |
-0.006 |
-0.012 |
-0.017 |
-0.019 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.020 |
-0.018 |
-0.017 |
-0.016 |
-0.015 |
-0.013 |
-0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.010 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
User cost |
uim |
0.336 |
0.332 |
0.315 |
0.304 |
0.287 |
0.267 |
0.245 |
0.222 |
0.200 |
0.178 |
0.157 |
0.137 |
0.118 |
0.101 |
0.085 |
0.071 |
0.057 |
0.046 |
0.035 |
0.026 |
0.019 |
0.012 |
0.007 |
0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.003 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.002 |
0.000 |
0.002 |
0.004 |
Wage |
lna |
1.072 |
0.985 |
0.878 |
0.798 |
0.715 |
0.631 |
0.550 |
0.473 |
0.400 |
0.333 |
0.272 |
0.217 |
0.167 |
0.122 |
0.083 |
0.049 |
0.020 |
-0.005 |
-0.026 |
-0.044 |
-0.057 |
-0.068 |
-0.076 |
-0.081 |
-0.083 |
-0.084 |
-0.082 |
-0.080 |
-0.075 |
-0.070 |
-0.064 |
-0.058 |
-0.051 |
-0.043 |
-0.036 |
-0.029 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.319 |
0.335 |
0.321 |
0.313 |
0.301 |
0.284 |
0.266 |
0.246 |
0.225 |
0.205 |
0.184 |
0.164 |
0.145 |
0.127 |
0.109 |
0.093 |
0.078 |
0.064 |
0.051 |
0.039 |
0.029 |
0.020 |
0.012 |
0.005 |
0.000 |
-0.005 |
-0.008 |
-0.011 |
-0.012 |
-0.013 |
-0.014 |
-0.014 |
-0.013 |
-0.011 |
-0.010 |
-0.008 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.218 |
0.220 |
0.209 |
0.201 |
0.189 |
0.175 |
0.159 |
0.143 |
0.127 |
0.111 |
0.095 |
0.081 |
0.067 |
0.055 |
0.044 |
0.033 |
0.024 |
0.016 |
0.009 |
0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.006 |
-0.010 |
-0.012 |
-0.014 |
-0.015 |
-0.016 |
-0.016 |
-0.016 |
-0.015 |
-0.014 |
-0.013 |
-0.011 |
-0.010 |
-0.008 |
-0.006 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.053 |
0.027 |
-0.102 |
-0.071 |
-0.038 |
-0.013 |
0.008 |
0.026 |
0.040 |
0.051 |
0.058 |
0.063 |
0.065 |
0.064 |
0.063 |
0.060 |
0.056 |
0.052 |
0.047 |
0.042 |
0.036 |
0.031 |
0.027 |
0.022 |
0.018 |
0.014 |
0.010 |
0.007 |
0.004 |
0.002 |
0.000 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
Wage share |
byw |
0.310 |
0.275 |
0.216 |
0.171 |
0.134 |
0.101 |
0.074 |
0.050 |
0.030 |
0.013 |
-0.001 |
-0.012 |
-0.022 |
-0.030 |
-0.035 |
-0.040 |
-0.043 |
-0.045 |
-0.046 |
-0.046 |
-0.046 |
-0.044 |
-0.042 |
-0.040 |
-0.037 |
-0.035 |
-0.031 |
-0.028 |
-0.025 |
-0.022 |
-0.018 |
-0.015 |
-0.012 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|