|
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
965.6 |
1886.0 |
2827.3 |
3510.0 |
4055.1 |
4438.4 |
4666.6 |
4741.5 |
4676.5 |
4491.5 |
4213.9 |
3874.7 |
3506.6 |
3140.0 |
2801.3 |
2511.3 |
2283.8 |
2126.0 |
2038.7 |
2017.6 |
2054.0 |
2137.3 |
2255.1 |
2394.9 |
2545.6 |
2697.3 |
2842.5 |
2976.1 |
3095.5 |
3200.0 |
3290.9 |
3370.7 |
3442.8 |
3510.8 |
3578.5 |
3648.9 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
0.0 |
0.1 |
1.4 |
3.0 |
4.9 |
6.8 |
8.6 |
10.2 |
11.7 |
13.1 |
14.2 |
15.3 |
16.2 |
17.0 |
17.7 |
18.4 |
19.1 |
19.7 |
20.2 |
20.8 |
21.3 |
21.9 |
22.4 |
22.9 |
23.3 |
23.8 |
24.3 |
24.8 |
25.2 |
25.7 |
26.1 |
26.6 |
27.0 |
27.4 |
27.9 |
28.3 |
Investment |
fI |
763.1 |
2342.6 |
4138.4 |
5551.5 |
6620.9 |
7331.0 |
7708.9 |
7759.0 |
7527.6 |
7076.2 |
6477.5 |
5805.7 |
5130.2 |
4509.4 |
3988.3 |
3596.1 |
3346.0 |
3237.0 |
3256.5 |
3383.6 |
3591.8 |
3853.2 |
4140.4 |
4428.8 |
4699.0 |
4936.7 |
5133.6 |
5287.0 |
5398.6 |
5474.2 |
5522.2 |
5551.9 |
5573.4 |
5595.9 |
5626.9 |
5671.7 |
Export |
fE |
876.7 |
3044.9 |
6063.1 |
9447.3 |
12846.5 |
15992.3 |
18698.9 |
20860.8 |
22442.5 |
23468.9 |
24010.9 |
24170.1 |
24062.7 |
23807.6 |
23513.0 |
23268.5 |
23141.4 |
23173.1 |
23381.6 |
23762.7 |
24295.6 |
24947.4 |
25678.2 |
26446.2 |
27213.2 |
27946.0 |
28620.6 |
29221.3 |
29742.7 |
30187.3 |
30565.0 |
30891.2 |
31183.9 |
31462.0 |
31743.5 |
32044.1 |
Import |
fM |
760.1 |
2272.5 |
4208.9 |
6025.5 |
7675.3 |
9060.6 |
10131.8 |
10852.0 |
11230.4 |
11305.7 |
11138.7 |
10802.9 |
10374.9 |
9927.2 |
9521.4 |
9205.1 |
9009.0 |
8947.5 |
9020.2 |
9214.4 |
9508.5 |
9875.8 |
10287.1 |
10714.1 |
11132.2 |
11521.6 |
11868.8 |
12166.5 |
12413.1 |
12612.5 |
12772.4 |
12903.4 |
13017.2 |
13125.4 |
13238.7 |
13365.6 |
GDP |
fY |
1840.5 |
4966.7 |
8678.8 |
12261.3 |
15527.2 |
18291.7 |
20448.7 |
21942.0 |
22787.4 |
23054.3 |
22851.8 |
22312.1 |
21574.3 |
20770.8 |
20015.9 |
19399.2 |
18981.2 |
18793.2 |
18840.8 |
19106.3 |
19556.0 |
20145.9 |
20826.8 |
21549.7 |
22271.9 |
22957.6 |
23581.6 |
24128.9 |
24595.2 |
24984.5 |
25308.3 |
25582.9 |
25827.0 |
26059.9 |
26299.2 |
26559.4 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
1.512 |
4.648 |
8.731 |
13.187 |
17.581 |
21.603 |
25.007 |
27.641 |
29.445 |
30.446 |
30.733 |
30.443 |
29.736 |
28.775 |
27.715 |
26.683 |
25.778 |
25.066 |
24.580 |
24.322 |
24.274 |
24.400 |
24.655 |
24.989 |
25.355 |
25.712 |
26.026 |
26.275 |
26.447 |
26.539 |
26.556 |
26.509 |
26.414 |
26.288 |
26.147 |
26.005 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
13.715 |
11.110 |
9.031 |
6.804 |
4.612 |
2.613 |
0.930 |
-0.363 |
-1.239 |
-1.714 |
-1.833 |
-1.668 |
-1.298 |
-0.808 |
-0.272 |
0.245 |
0.694 |
1.044 |
1.280 |
1.401 |
1.417 |
1.346 |
1.213 |
1.042 |
0.857 |
0.678 |
0.521 |
0.398 |
0.314 |
0.270 |
0.264 |
0.289 |
0.337 |
0.401 |
0.472 |
0.542 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.147 |
-0.090 |
0.024 |
0.167 |
0.294 |
0.401 |
0.487 |
0.549 |
0.589 |
0.608 |
0.609 |
0.598 |
0.579 |
0.556 |
0.534 |
0.515 |
0.502 |
0.496 |
0.497 |
0.504 |
0.517 |
0.535 |
0.556 |
0.578 |
0.600 |
0.622 |
0.642 |
0.660 |
0.675 |
0.688 |
0.699 |
0.709 |
0.717 |
0.725 |
0.732 |
0.740 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.123 |
0.054 |
-0.051 |
-0.155 |
-0.227 |
-0.272 |
-0.295 |
-0.297 |
-0.280 |
-0.249 |
-0.209 |
-0.164 |
-0.118 |
-0.074 |
-0.035 |
-0.003 |
0.021 |
0.037 |
0.046 |
0.049 |
0.047 |
0.041 |
0.034 |
0.025 |
0.017 |
0.009 |
0.004 |
0.000 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.003 |
0.005 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.025 |
-0.036 |
-0.027 |
0.012 |
0.067 |
0.128 |
0.192 |
0.253 |
0.309 |
0.358 |
0.400 |
0.434 |
0.462 |
0.483 |
0.499 |
0.512 |
0.523 |
0.533 |
0.543 |
0.553 |
0.564 |
0.576 |
0.589 |
0.603 |
0.617 |
0.631 |
0.645 |
0.659 |
0.672 |
0.684 |
0.696 |
0.707 |
0.717 |
0.726 |
0.736 |
0.745 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.030 |
0.042 |
0.018 |
0.009 |
0.039 |
0.123 |
0.265 |
0.470 |
0.732 |
1.046 |
1.403 |
1.793 |
2.205 |
2.630 |
3.059 |
3.487 |
3.908 |
4.320 |
4.721 |
5.110 |
5.490 |
5.861 |
6.226 |
6.585 |
6.940 |
7.294 |
7.646 |
7.997 |
8.347 |
8.696 |
9.044 |
9.389 |
9.732 |
10.071 |
10.406 |
10.738 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.141 |
0.220 |
0.177 |
0.006 |
-0.274 |
-0.640 |
-1.068 |
-1.533 |
-2.014 |
-2.491 |
-2.949 |
-3.377 |
-3.772 |
-4.129 |
-4.453 |
-4.747 |
-5.018 |
-5.272 |
-5.516 |
-5.758 |
-6.001 |
-6.249 |
-6.505 |
-6.770 |
-7.044 |
-7.325 |
-7.612 |
-7.902 |
-8.194 |
-8.486 |
-8.775 |
-9.061 |
-9.343 |
-9.621 |
-9.894 |
-10.163 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.086 |
-0.237 |
-0.396 |
-0.535 |
-0.643 |
-0.716 |
-0.754 |
-0.758 |
-0.734 |
-0.688 |
-0.629 |
-0.564 |
-0.499 |
-0.441 |
-0.394 |
-0.359 |
-0.337 |
-0.329 |
-0.331 |
-0.342 |
-0.359 |
-0.380 |
-0.401 |
-0.421 |
-0.438 |
-0.452 |
-0.461 |
-0.466 |
-0.467 |
-0.465 |
-0.461 |
-0.455 |
-0.449 |
-0.442 |
-0.436 |
-0.432 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.038 |
-0.101 |
-0.160 |
-0.201 |
-0.223 |
-0.227 |
-0.217 |
-0.196 |
-0.167 |
-0.135 |
-0.103 |
-0.074 |
-0.050 |
-0.032 |
-0.021 |
-0.016 |
-0.016 |
-0.020 |
-0.027 |
-0.036 |
-0.045 |
-0.054 |
-0.061 |
-0.066 |
-0.069 |
-0.071 |
-0.070 |
-0.069 |
-0.066 |
-0.063 |
-0.060 |
-0.057 |
-0.054 |
-0.052 |
-0.051 |
-0.051 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.112 |
-0.249 |
-0.370 |
-0.472 |
-0.555 |
-0.616 |
-0.656 |
-0.678 |
-0.683 |
-0.677 |
-0.662 |
-0.643 |
-0.623 |
-0.605 |
-0.590 |
-0.580 |
-0.574 |
-0.574 |
-0.577 |
-0.583 |
-0.590 |
-0.599 |
-0.607 |
-0.615 |
-0.620 |
-0.624 |
-0.626 |
-0.626 |
-0.625 |
-0.622 |
-0.618 |
-0.614 |
-0.610 |
-0.607 |
-0.604 |
-0.601 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.252 |
-0.664 |
-0.985 |
-1.228 |
-1.399 |
-1.499 |
-1.538 |
-1.526 |
-1.478 |
-1.407 |
-1.326 |
-1.245 |
-1.173 |
-1.116 |
-1.075 |
-1.053 |
-1.046 |
-1.054 |
-1.071 |
-1.093 |
-1.119 |
-1.143 |
-1.163 |
-1.179 |
-1.188 |
-1.191 |
-1.188 |
-1.180 |
-1.169 |
-1.156 |
-1.141 |
-1.127 |
-1.114 |
-1.103 |
-1.094 |
-1.087 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.104 |
-0.239 |
-0.356 |
-0.453 |
-0.531 |
-0.586 |
-0.622 |
-0.639 |
-0.641 |
-0.633 |
-0.619 |
-0.601 |
-0.584 |
-0.569 |
-0.558 |
-0.552 |
-0.552 |
-0.555 |
-0.563 |
-0.573 |
-0.584 |
-0.596 |
-0.607 |
-0.617 |
-0.624 |
-0.629 |
-0.633 |
-0.634 |
-0.633 |
-0.630 |
-0.627 |
-0.624 |
-0.620 |
-0.616 |
-0.613 |
-0.611 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.069 |
-0.155 |
-0.227 |
-0.286 |
-0.331 |
-0.362 |
-0.379 |
-0.385 |
-0.381 |
-0.371 |
-0.357 |
-0.342 |
-0.327 |
-0.314 |
-0.305 |
-0.298 |
-0.295 |
-0.296 |
-0.298 |
-0.302 |
-0.308 |
-0.313 |
-0.318 |
-0.322 |
-0.324 |
-0.326 |
-0.326 |
-0.324 |
-0.322 |
-0.319 |
-0.316 |
-0.312 |
-0.309 |
-0.306 |
-0.303 |
-0.301 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.133 |
-0.119 |
-0.077 |
-0.030 |
0.003 |
0.023 |
0.033 |
0.034 |
0.027 |
0.014 |
-0.004 |
-0.025 |
-0.048 |
-0.070 |
-0.092 |
-0.111 |
-0.127 |
-0.139 |
-0.148 |
-0.154 |
-0.158 |
-0.159 |
-0.158 |
-0.156 |
-0.153 |
-0.150 |
-0.148 |
-0.145 |
-0.143 |
-0.142 |
-0.140 |
-0.140 |
-0.139 |
-0.139 |
-0.139 |
-0.139 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.087 |
-0.227 |
-0.326 |
-0.392 |
-0.424 |
-0.428 |
-0.409 |
-0.373 |
-0.327 |
-0.278 |
-0.230 |
-0.188 |
-0.154 |
-0.129 |
-0.115 |
-0.109 |
-0.111 |
-0.118 |
-0.128 |
-0.139 |
-0.150 |
-0.160 |
-0.166 |
-0.170 |
-0.170 |
-0.168 |
-0.163 |
-0.157 |
-0.149 |
-0.141 |
-0.134 |
-0.127 |
-0.122 |
-0.117 |
-0.114 |
-0.112 |
|
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