|
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
954.3 |
1775.1 |
2450.2 |
2748.5 |
2813.1 |
2687.7 |
2419.0 |
2047.1 |
1607.2 |
1128.1 |
633.5 |
141.9 |
-332.4 |
-779.1 |
-1191.1 |
-1564.1 |
-1895.8 |
-2185.4 |
-2434.2 |
-2644.2 |
-2817.8 |
-2958.1 |
-3068.2 |
-3151.4 |
-3211.1 |
-3250.4 |
-3272.4 |
-3279.9 |
-3275.6 |
-3262.0 |
-3241.5 |
-3216.1 |
-3187.8 |
-3158.3 |
-3129.3 |
-3102.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.3 |
2.9 |
4.9 |
7.0 |
9.2 |
11.4 |
13.5 |
15.5 |
17.4 |
19.3 |
21.0 |
22.6 |
24.1 |
25.6 |
26.9 |
28.1 |
29.3 |
30.5 |
31.5 |
32.5 |
33.5 |
34.4 |
35.3 |
36.1 |
36.9 |
37.7 |
38.5 |
39.3 |
40.0 |
40.7 |
41.5 |
42.2 |
42.9 |
43.6 |
Investment |
fI |
703.7 |
1693.9 |
2569.3 |
3170.9 |
3567.8 |
3812.0 |
3931.9 |
3951.0 |
3894.3 |
3786.0 |
3647.6 |
3496.9 |
3348.0 |
3211.4 |
3094.0 |
3000.4 |
2932.4 |
2890.3 |
2872.8 |
2877.5 |
2901.8 |
2942.8 |
2997.3 |
3062.6 |
3136.1 |
3215.5 |
3298.9 |
3384.7 |
3471.6 |
3558.7 |
3645.1 |
3730.4 |
3814.2 |
3896.3 |
3976.6 |
4055.2 |
Export |
fE |
597.4 |
1575.0 |
2739.0 |
4057.0 |
5486.6 |
6982.4 |
8506.4 |
10028.4 |
11524.8 |
12977.7 |
14373.6 |
15702.5 |
16957.7 |
18134.9 |
19231.7 |
20247.7 |
21183.3 |
22040.0 |
22820.3 |
23527.4 |
24165.2 |
24737.8 |
25250.1 |
25706.9 |
26113.7 |
26475.9 |
26799.1 |
27089.2 |
27351.5 |
27591.9 |
27815.5 |
28027.8 |
28233.5 |
28437.4 |
28643.7 |
28856.3 |
Import |
fM |
567.7 |
1170.0 |
1704.4 |
2050.0 |
2296.8 |
2479.0 |
2614.5 |
2717.1 |
2799.8 |
2873.3 |
2946.2 |
3024.7 |
3112.8 |
3212.8 |
3325.3 |
3449.9 |
3585.2 |
3729.6 |
3880.5 |
4035.3 |
4191.7 |
4347.6 |
4500.9 |
4650.0 |
4793.6 |
4930.6 |
5060.4 |
5182.7 |
5297.3 |
5404.3 |
5504.1 |
5597.1 |
5683.8 |
5765.0 |
5841.3 |
5913.4 |
GDP |
fY |
1685.3 |
3842.4 |
5959.4 |
7776.5 |
9361.4 |
10735.4 |
11917.7 |
12928.9 |
13793.6 |
14536.3 |
15180.0 |
15745.0 |
16248.6 |
16705.1 |
17125.5 |
17518.1 |
17888.7 |
18241.5 |
18578.8 |
18901.9 |
19211.6 |
19508.3 |
19792.4 |
20064.2 |
20324.4 |
20574.0 |
20814.0 |
21046.0 |
21271.7 |
21492.9 |
21711.3 |
21929.2 |
22148.4 |
22371.0 |
22598.5 |
22832.8 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
1.461 |
3.805 |
6.401 |
8.949 |
11.351 |
13.555 |
15.535 |
17.282 |
18.803 |
20.116 |
21.243 |
22.205 |
23.025 |
23.723 |
24.317 |
24.821 |
25.247 |
25.605 |
25.903 |
26.145 |
26.337 |
26.484 |
26.588 |
26.652 |
26.681 |
26.678 |
26.646 |
26.589 |
26.510 |
26.414 |
26.303 |
26.181 |
26.052 |
25.919 |
25.785 |
25.652 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
13.665 |
11.448 |
10.114 |
8.838 |
7.632 |
6.529 |
5.540 |
4.668 |
3.910 |
3.256 |
2.696 |
2.217 |
1.810 |
1.462 |
1.167 |
0.917 |
0.705 |
0.527 |
0.380 |
0.260 |
0.165 |
0.093 |
0.042 |
0.011 |
-0.003 |
0.000 |
0.017 |
0.047 |
0.088 |
0.137 |
0.193 |
0.255 |
0.320 |
0.387 |
0.454 |
0.521 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.156 |
-0.125 |
-0.054 |
0.042 |
0.122 |
0.190 |
0.247 |
0.294 |
0.333 |
0.366 |
0.392 |
0.415 |
0.434 |
0.452 |
0.468 |
0.483 |
0.497 |
0.511 |
0.525 |
0.539 |
0.553 |
0.566 |
0.580 |
0.593 |
0.606 |
0.619 |
0.632 |
0.645 |
0.657 |
0.669 |
0.681 |
0.693 |
0.705 |
0.717 |
0.729 |
0.741 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.129 |
0.074 |
-0.009 |
-0.096 |
-0.154 |
-0.191 |
-0.210 |
-0.216 |
-0.210 |
-0.197 |
-0.178 |
-0.155 |
-0.132 |
-0.108 |
-0.086 |
-0.065 |
-0.046 |
-0.030 |
-0.016 |
-0.005 |
0.005 |
0.012 |
0.018 |
0.022 |
0.025 |
0.026 |
0.027 |
0.028 |
0.027 |
0.026 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
0.022 |
0.020 |
0.018 |
0.016 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.027 |
-0.051 |
-0.063 |
-0.054 |
-0.032 |
-0.001 |
0.036 |
0.078 |
0.123 |
0.169 |
0.215 |
0.260 |
0.303 |
0.344 |
0.382 |
0.418 |
0.451 |
0.481 |
0.508 |
0.534 |
0.557 |
0.578 |
0.597 |
0.615 |
0.631 |
0.646 |
0.659 |
0.672 |
0.684 |
0.695 |
0.706 |
0.717 |
0.727 |
0.737 |
0.747 |
0.757 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.028 |
0.061 |
0.072 |
0.092 |
0.132 |
0.199 |
0.297 |
0.429 |
0.598 |
0.802 |
1.039 |
1.309 |
1.607 |
1.931 |
2.277 |
2.641 |
3.022 |
3.416 |
3.820 |
4.231 |
4.649 |
5.071 |
5.495 |
5.921 |
6.346 |
6.771 |
7.194 |
7.615 |
8.034 |
8.449 |
8.862 |
9.271 |
9.676 |
10.079 |
10.478 |
10.874 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.149 |
0.275 |
0.329 |
0.297 |
0.196 |
0.038 |
-0.168 |
-0.410 |
-0.681 |
-0.974 |
-1.283 |
-1.603 |
-1.932 |
-2.267 |
-2.607 |
-2.950 |
-3.296 |
-3.644 |
-3.994 |
-4.345 |
-4.698 |
-5.051 |
-5.405 |
-5.760 |
-6.114 |
-6.468 |
-6.821 |
-7.173 |
-7.524 |
-7.873 |
-8.221 |
-8.567 |
-8.911 |
-9.254 |
-9.595 |
-9.933 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.074 |
-0.166 |
-0.244 |
-0.303 |
-0.347 |
-0.379 |
-0.403 |
-0.421 |
-0.435 |
-0.446 |
-0.457 |
-0.466 |
-0.476 |
-0.487 |
-0.497 |
-0.508 |
-0.520 |
-0.531 |
-0.541 |
-0.551 |
-0.560 |
-0.568 |
-0.575 |
-0.581 |
-0.585 |
-0.587 |
-0.589 |
-0.589 |
-0.589 |
-0.587 |
-0.585 |
-0.582 |
-0.579 |
-0.575 |
-0.571 |
-0.567 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.028 |
-0.053 |
-0.067 |
-0.069 |
-0.065 |
-0.056 |
-0.046 |
-0.035 |
-0.023 |
-0.013 |
-0.003 |
0.007 |
0.015 |
0.022 |
0.028 |
0.033 |
0.038 |
0.042 |
0.046 |
0.049 |
0.052 |
0.054 |
0.057 |
0.058 |
0.060 |
0.062 |
0.063 |
0.064 |
0.065 |
0.065 |
0.066 |
0.066 |
0.066 |
0.066 |
0.066 |
0.066 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.109 |
-0.243 |
-0.365 |
-0.476 |
-0.577 |
-0.667 |
-0.746 |
-0.815 |
-0.875 |
-0.926 |
-0.970 |
-1.006 |
-1.037 |
-1.062 |
-1.082 |
-1.098 |
-1.109 |
-1.118 |
-1.123 |
-1.125 |
-1.125 |
-1.123 |
-1.119 |
-1.113 |
-1.107 |
-1.099 |
-1.091 |
-1.083 |
-1.074 |
-1.065 |
-1.057 |
-1.048 |
-1.040 |
-1.033 |
-1.026 |
-1.020 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.248 |
-0.660 |
-1.003 |
-1.297 |
-1.551 |
-1.767 |
-1.948 |
-2.098 |
-2.220 |
-2.318 |
-2.396 |
-2.456 |
-2.500 |
-2.531 |
-2.551 |
-2.562 |
-2.563 |
-2.558 |
-2.547 |
-2.531 |
-2.511 |
-2.487 |
-2.461 |
-2.433 |
-2.404 |
-2.374 |
-2.345 |
-2.315 |
-2.287 |
-2.261 |
-2.235 |
-2.212 |
-2.191 |
-2.172 |
-2.155 |
-2.140 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.101 |
-0.234 |
-0.357 |
-0.471 |
-0.576 |
-0.671 |
-0.757 |
-0.835 |
-0.903 |
-0.964 |
-1.018 |
-1.065 |
-1.106 |
-1.141 |
-1.171 |
-1.197 |
-1.218 |
-1.234 |
-1.247 |
-1.257 |
-1.263 |
-1.267 |
-1.268 |
-1.267 |
-1.264 |
-1.259 |
-1.253 |
-1.247 |
-1.239 |
-1.231 |
-1.222 |
-1.214 |
-1.206 |
-1.198 |
-1.190 |
-1.183 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.069 |
-0.157 |
-0.236 |
-0.309 |
-0.376 |
-0.435 |
-0.488 |
-0.534 |
-0.573 |
-0.606 |
-0.634 |
-0.657 |
-0.676 |
-0.690 |
-0.702 |
-0.710 |
-0.715 |
-0.718 |
-0.719 |
-0.718 |
-0.716 |
-0.712 |
-0.707 |
-0.701 |
-0.695 |
-0.688 |
-0.681 |
-0.673 |
-0.666 |
-0.659 |
-0.652 |
-0.645 |
-0.639 |
-0.633 |
-0.628 |
-0.623 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.132 |
-0.102 |
-0.047 |
0.014 |
0.052 |
0.074 |
0.082 |
0.080 |
0.068 |
0.051 |
0.029 |
0.005 |
-0.020 |
-0.046 |
-0.070 |
-0.094 |
-0.115 |
-0.134 |
-0.151 |
-0.166 |
-0.179 |
-0.190 |
-0.199 |
-0.207 |
-0.212 |
-0.217 |
-0.220 |
-0.222 |
-0.223 |
-0.224 |
-0.224 |
-0.223 |
-0.221 |
-0.220 |
-0.218 |
-0.216 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.086 |
-0.211 |
-0.299 |
-0.362 |
-0.407 |
-0.438 |
-0.458 |
-0.470 |
-0.475 |
-0.475 |
-0.471 |
-0.465 |
-0.456 |
-0.445 |
-0.434 |
-0.421 |
-0.407 |
-0.393 |
-0.379 |
-0.365 |
-0.350 |
-0.337 |
-0.323 |
-0.310 |
-0.298 |
-0.287 |
-0.276 |
-0.266 |
-0.258 |
-0.250 |
-0.243 |
-0.237 |
-0.233 |
-0.229 |
-0.226 |
-0.224 |
|
|
|
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